Comments on: Gallup: Obama Hits 50% To McCain’s 44%

By: elrod

elrod — Sat, 20 Sep 2008 21:32:53 +0000

jwest,
I suspect those internals will look quite different this week.

By: poonani

poonani — Sat, 20 Sep 2008 20:46:09 +0000

Might want to work on your reading skills. That candidate support by age page is only updated as of the 9/8/-9/14 polls (consequently, the set of polls where McCain averaged a 48-45 lead

By: 1503 A.D. Pc Cheat | Kermit Verrone

1503 A.D. Pc Cheat | Kermit Verrone — Sat, 20 Sep 2008 19:50:37 +0000

[...] Gallup: Obama Hits 50% To McCain’s 44% [...]

By: jwest

jwest — Sat, 20 Sep 2008 19:38:15 +0000

This Obama lead appears to have more to do with who Gallup thinks will show up in November than anything else.

Obama leads with the 18 to 29 year olds, while McCain leads with all other age groups. If Gallup believes that this year the young will vote in record numbers while everyone else stays home, then their projection might be right.

I’ll bet the other way.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/108034/Candidate-Sup...