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Financial Crisis on Wall Street

When Bear Stearns sold out in a panic to JP Morgan this March, Wall Street breathed a sigh of relief. Yes, one of the most venerable institutions in American financial history bit the dust. But JP Morgan prevented an even greater catastrophe by buying Bear Stearns out at $10 per share.

Today, Wall Street is facing a graver crisis as Lehman Brothers faces total collapse, and Barclays has failed to reach a deal to bail Lehman Brothers out. Now, Lehman Brothers, a 158-year old investment bank is preparing to declare bankruptcy and liquidate its assets. The government has not signaled any intention to bail Lehman out, and nobody knows the financial fallout.

Lehman, it seems, is not the last domino to fall. Merrill Lynch faces a similar crisis and is looking to an “11th hour” deal by Bank of America to combine brokerages. And that leaves insurer AIG and Washington Mutual teetering on the brink of financial collapse. All of this follows the government bailout of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae over the last week.

I’m no financial expert. But I know enough to say that, at this point, the Wall Street financial crisis is THE most important political issue of the day. This has been building for quite some time, beginning with the fall of subprime lenders in 2007. The real estate crash then led to a nationwide recession which, coupled with high gas prices, has devastated millions of American homeowners and consumers. The economy has yet to recover from this double whammy of financial crisis and high energy prices.

I have no idea what the government should do at this point. Perhaps the government should just stay out and let the markets work itself out. Maybe the government should provide some sort of major bailout package to prevent a total collapse in the financial markets. I really don’t know. But I hope that both of our Presidential candidates will offer some kind of vision for the future of our financial services industry.

  • mikkel
    Elrod, I'd go as far in saying that it's not "THE most important" but that there is a very real risk that it's the ONLY thing that's important at least domestically speaking. It doesn't matter much arguing about whether the projected $4 trillion debt increase under McCain's tax breaks are better than Obama's projected $2.5 trillion debt increase under his increased domestic programs when it's highly unlikely that we'll be unable to get people to buy much more debt. (The question of how much they buy is also related to the "solution" that is implemented).

    Like Michael Silverstein noted in a post a week ago, the primary driver of the next Presidency will be the credit markets.

    My two cents is that it's a fool's errand to try to stop things from collapsing and the real question is who is better able to provide a direction for the country as it deals with the doldrums and grasps for a new direction and reemergence.
  • Kathryn
    Hi Elrod,
    I completely agree with you regarding the incredible importance of this issue. Sadly I do think this is perhaps an area where Obama could have done better. While McCain is clueless here, Obama doesn't have clean hands, as his association with Freddy Mac's Jim Johnson would indicate.
    I have been following this issue quite closely on the "Housing Panic" blog which does a pretty good job at covering the mortgage collapse and putting it in understandable terms.
    My preference would be a starkly termed deal, either you get our help and completely open your books and stay out of the way of regulation or you are on your own. I think the biggest problem is that Democrats have been passing the regulations, Republicans refuse to enforce them. Honest people look at the incredible maze and decide to do something else with their lives while those who have connections but no talent jump in. How else can you explain Yum, et. al?
  • Rudi
    Don't forget that WaMu is also in big trouble. Wamu is bigger, assets and debts, it's failure is more significant than the Lehman collapse.
    http://www.forbes.com/afxnewslimited/feeds/afx/...
    Among financials, shares of Washington Mutual, the biggest U.S. savings and loan, also reversed sharply, ending up 22 percent at $2.83. Earlier, the stock fell below $2 a share on fears that the bank would not be able to raise enough
  • StockBoySF
    I thought the fed. gov. convened the largest Wall St. banks a couple days ago and told them to figure out the Lehman mess.... I was happy to hear the gov. tell the financial institutions to step up to the plate.
  • mikkel
    Things are not looking good for AIG. From what I've read they can't let AIG fail or it'll lead to one of the greatest collapses in history. I'd guess that the government will give an unsecured line to AIG at least temporarily but who knows -- Wamu is toast, as they are going to have to spend tons of money on everything else.

    If Wamu goes down they are going to completely wipe out the FDIC, but I wouldn't worry as no one expects the government to let any FDIC accounts go down. That's just another $100-$200 billion that needs to be committed.
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