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	<title>Comments on: Sabato&#8217;s Crystal Ball: CAN MCCAIN OVERCOME THE TRIPLE WHAMMY?</title>
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		<title>By: DLS</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/21008/sabatos-crystal-ball-can-mccain-overcome-the-triple-whammy/comment-page-1/#comment-147585</link>
		<dc:creator>DLS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jul 2008 16:08:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/at-tmv/newsweek-blogitics/21008/sabatos-crystal-ball-can-mccain-overcome-the-triple-whammy/#comment-147585</guid>
		<description>Rather than look at the latest breathelessly hyped New Poll Thread of the Day or even of the hour, look at the long-term trend and follow it through next month as more economic news is made (higher fuel prices, more foreclosures or lender bankruptcies).&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08_VS.cfm&quot;&gt;http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08_WTA.cfm&quot;&gt;http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Likely Rise in Voter Turnout Bodes Well for Democrats&lt;br&gt;McCain&#039;s Enthusiasm Gap, Obama&#039;s Unity Gap&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://people-press.org/report/436/obama-mccain-july&quot;&gt;http://people-press.org/report/436/obama-mccain...&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;And, heh, heh, let&#039;s hear your domestic oil and gas policy, Senator Obama.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&quot;Amid record gas[oline] prices, public support for greater energy exploration is spiking. Compared with just a few months ago, many more Americans are giving higher priority to more energy exploration, rather than more conservation. An increasing proportion also says that developing new sources of energy - rather than protecting the environment - is the more important national priority. ...&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Much of the increase in support for energy exploration has come among groups that previously viewed this as a less important priority than energy conservation - young people, liberals, independents, Democrats, women and people who have attended college.&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://people-press.org/report/433/gas-prices&quot;&gt;http://people-press.org/report/433/gas-prices&lt;/a&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rather than look at the latest breathelessly hyped New Poll Thread of the Day or even of the hour, look at the long-term trend and follow it through next month as more economic news is made (higher fuel prices, more foreclosures or lender bankruptcies).</p>
<p><a href="http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08_VS.cfm"></a><a href="http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08.." rel="nofollow">http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08..</a>.</p>
<p><a href="http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08_WTA.cfm"></a><a href="http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08.." rel="nofollow">http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08..</a>.</p>
<p>Likely Rise in Voter Turnout Bodes Well for Democrats<br />McCain&#39;s Enthusiasm Gap, Obama&#39;s Unity Gap</p>
<p><a href="http://people-press.org/report/436/obama-mccain-july"></a><a href="http://people-press.org/report/436/obama-mccain.." rel="nofollow">http://people-press.org/report/436/obama-mccain..</a>.</p>
<p>And, heh, heh, let&#39;s hear your domestic oil and gas policy, Senator Obama.</p>
<p>&#8220;Amid record gas[oline] prices, public support for greater energy exploration is spiking. Compared with just a few months ago, many more Americans are giving higher priority to more energy exploration, rather than more conservation. An increasing proportion also says that developing new sources of energy &#8211; rather than protecting the environment &#8211; is the more important national priority. &#8230;</p>
<p>Much of the increase in support for energy exploration has come among groups that previously viewed this as a less important priority than energy conservation &#8211; young people, liberals, independents, Democrats, women and people who have attended college.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://people-press.org/report/433/gas-prices">http://people-press.org/report/433/gas-prices</a></p>
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		<title>By: DLS</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/21008/sabatos-crystal-ball-can-mccain-overcome-the-triple-whammy/comment-page-1/#comment-147584</link>
		<dc:creator>DLS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jul 2008 14:36:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/at-tmv/newsweek-blogitics/21008/sabatos-crystal-ball-can-mccain-overcome-the-triple-whammy/#comment-147584</guid>
		<description>I believe the public is discontented even more now than they were in 1996 with the way things are, and a lot of desperate people will vote Democratic no matter what, anyway.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I just hope the Democrats don&#039;t get conceited as well as arrogant again, the way the Clintons were after their inauguration, and lurch leftward.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;What reasonable people want is *** NOT *** a regressive return to the political economy of aging, failed older Blue Nation, with its failures that were evident by the 1970s (and responsible for its rejection in the 1980 elections and afterward).&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Here in Michigan, Blue Nation politics and policy have ruined the state&#039;s economy (it&#039;s as if Michigan, the city of Detroit, and the Big Three all have failed truly to recognize that their old models are obsolete as well as long invalid), and in another place subject to Blue Nation politics and policies that I have lived before, the same result is here -- and what it means Democrats may have yet to learn.  (They certainly haven&#039;t in New York, where arrogant dysfunctional bureaucrats respond to anything by raising taxes and believe they&#039;ll always get more revenue by increasing taxes, which is idiotic as well as conceited.)&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;So many people I&#039;ve met in Michigan are shocked that I came here for a high-paying job; this state is hemmorhaging people as well as jobs.  The same is true for New York.  We who know better don&#039;t want the Democrats to do that to the entire nation.  (Or is this their way of responding to people&#039;s voting with their feet?)&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.siena.edu/level2col.aspx?menu_id=562&amp;id=18277&quot;&gt;http://www.siena.edu/level2col.aspx?menu_id=562...&lt;/a&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I believe the public is discontented even more now than they were in 1996 with the way things are, and a lot of desperate people will vote Democratic no matter what, anyway.</p>
<p>I just hope the Democrats don&#39;t get conceited as well as arrogant again, the way the Clintons were after their inauguration, and lurch leftward.</p>
<p>What reasonable people want is *** NOT *** a regressive return to the political economy of aging, failed older Blue Nation, with its failures that were evident by the 1970s (and responsible for its rejection in the 1980 elections and afterward).</p>
<p>Here in Michigan, Blue Nation politics and policy have ruined the state&#39;s economy (it&#39;s as if Michigan, the city of Detroit, and the Big Three all have failed truly to recognize that their old models are obsolete as well as long invalid), and in another place subject to Blue Nation politics and policies that I have lived before, the same result is here &#8212; and what it means Democrats may have yet to learn.  (They certainly haven&#39;t in New York, where arrogant dysfunctional bureaucrats respond to anything by raising taxes and believe they&#39;ll always get more revenue by increasing taxes, which is idiotic as well as conceited.)</p>
<p>So many people I&#39;ve met in Michigan are shocked that I came here for a high-paying job; this state is hemmorhaging people as well as jobs.  The same is true for New York.  We who know better don&#39;t want the Democrats to do that to the entire nation.  (Or is this their way of responding to people&#39;s voting with their feet?)</p>
<p><a href="http://www.siena.edu/level2col.aspx?menu_id=562&#038;id=18277"></a><a href="http://www.siena.edu/level2col.aspx?menu_id=562.." rel="nofollow">http://www.siena.edu/level2col.aspx?menu_id=562..</a>.</p>
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