An Internet hub for moderates, centrists, and independents, with domestic and international news, analysis, original reporting, and popular features from the left, center, and right

Obama and the Hispanics

Remember back during the primaries when Hillary was pretty much trouncing Obama among Hispanic voters and there was all that talk about how Hillary’s success among Hispanics contributed to her so-called “electability” and how doing so poorly among Hispanics would be a big problem for Obama come general election time?

Yeah, well… here’s Gallup:

Hispanic registered voters’ support for Barack Obama for president remained consistent and strong in June, with Obama leading John McCain by 59% to 29% among this group.

While Hispanics generally preferred Hillary Clinton to Obama for the Democratic presidential nomination, a solid majority of Hispanics have consistently backed Obama against McCain in general-election trial heats. Obama has led McCain by about a 2-to-1 margin since Gallup began tracking general-election voting preferences in early March.

I don’t want to say I told you so — after all, I don’t know who you are — but, well, I told you so. McCain has some support among Hispanics because, unlike most Republicans, he isn’t completely crazy (in that xenophobic sort of way that characterizes so much of the nativist GOP) when it comes to immigration — he worked with Ted Kennedy on a compromise bill, but it’s not quite clear where he stands on the issue now, what with all the flippin’ and floppin’ and panderin’ — but Obama is clearly much more attractive to them, given his positions on the Iraq War, the economy, and other key issues.

Besides, it was clear all along, if not so much to the short-sighted and narrow-minded punditocracy, that Obama was only doing poorly among Hispanics relative to Hillary, not in absolute terms. Hispanics may have preferred her to him, but that never meant that they preferred anyone to him, let alone a warmongering faux maverick who sucks up to the GOP’s right-wing base like McCain. (Remember that Hillary, like Bill, is especially strong among Hispanics.) But now, with the long and sometimes bitter Democratic race over and done with, “Hispanics of differing demographic backgrounds all tend to solidly support Obama.”

Which, needless to say, is a rather positive development for Obama looking ahead to November.

(Cross-posted from The Reaction.)

  • Neocon
    Yeah well here is another problem for Obama.

    Mccain seems to be doing better then Bush with them and he won 2 elections. You might think its not a problem but it is and its a big problem.
  • superdestroyer
    When the candidate of the Democratic Party is promising to tax whites and use the money to give more benefits to minorities, of course all minorities are going to support the candidate.

    McCain also shows why it is pointless for Republicans to appeal to Hispanics. There is no amount of pandering that will get them no vote for Republicans. All pandering to Hispanics does is turn off whites to Republicans, lower donations to the Republicans and alienate groups that would have actually supported McCain.

    The real question is what will the Democratic Party do when the U.S. is majority non-white and there are just not enough whites to maintain the welfare state?
  • runasim
    Every poll and demographic description is an oversimplification.
    They inform, as well as mislead.

    Who are the women voters, for example? Despite the moaning and whining by Hillary fans, they were not representative of 'women voters'., just one portion of them. People voted for Hillary for lots of reasons, just like they voted against her for lots of reasons.

    Politicians need to be know poll results, as well as what the reuslts don't tell them.
    I'm sure a lot of Obama's support from Hispanics comes for the same reasons that the rest of the public supports Obama. Hispanics aren't only Hispaniccs, they're people.
  • runasim
    "The real question is what will the Democratic Party do when the U.S. is majority non-white and there are just not enough whites to maintain the welfare state?"
    -----------------------------

    Thet will cope with it like adults, instead of crying babies.
  • superdestroyer
    Runasim,

    You may want to look at the budget deficits in California. The absolute number of whites (meaning middle class and upper middle class) families has decreased. Thus, the type of people who work and pay taxes while using few government services has decreased. Now California has huge budget deficits but an exploding deficit budgets. I have not see anyone in California acting like an adult and facing their budget deficits and exploding population of illegal aliens. The cring babies in California are borrwing money to maintain government services and pretending that the demographic changes have to effect.

    If you look at European countries you will see that governments refuse to face demographic realities.
  • runasim
    SD,
    The world will end one day.
    Start worrrying about that.
blog comments powered by Disqus
© 2005-2009 The Moderate Voice | Site design by Elegant Themes | Site customization, hosting, and security by Enxit Group, LLC