Obama-McCain Race Virtual Dead Heat: CNN Poll Of Polls
A CNN poll of polls shows that the race between Democratic Senator Barack Obama and Republican Senator John McCain for the White House is now a virtual dead heat:
A poll of polls on Thursday showed John McCain and Barack Obama locked in a virtual dead heat as the presidential general election campaign got under way.
Obama, the presumptive Democratic nominee, held a narrow 2 point lead over his Republican counterpart among registered voters, 47 percent to 45 percent, according to CNN’s average of four recent national polls. Nearly 10 percent said they were undecided.
The polls included in the sample were conducted between May 21 and June 3, all before Obama wrapped up the nomination Tuesday night. The poll of polls included recent surveys from CBS, Gallup, Pew and Newsweek.
The poll of polls does not have a margin of sampling error.
This poll is likely to change — and rather fast — for several reasons.
Now that Senator Hillary Clinton has made it known she’s going to concede to Obama, it’s likely that the next poll will reflect where many of her supporters are going. Will they opt for McCain or as they see their candidate call for unity begin to get behind Obama?
Also: Republican political fire is now going to be aimed more at Obama more than ever — and he will be directing his campaign fire squarely at McCain.
Meanwhile, Real Clear Politics’ average of polls has Obama at 46.7 percent and McCain at 44.5 percent.
Pollster.com offers a bunch of poll numbers on an Obama-McCain match up:
Gallup Poll
National (5/31 to 6/4)
McCain 46, Obama 45National (6/4 only)
Obama 45, McCain 45
Obama/Clinton 50, McCain 45Rasmussen Reports
National
Obama 47, McCain 45Favorable / Unfavorable
McCain 55 / 42
Obama 54 / 43
What will now change will be the specific focus. Media attention — and voter scrutiny — will now be centered squarely on these two Senators and how they compare to each other. Expect to see some poll movement over the next week…one way or another.
7 Responses to “Obama-McCain Race Virtual Dead Heat: CNN Poll Of Polls”
I'm impressed by how swiftly top Clinton supporters have backed Obama. Judging by the pro-Hillary bloggers at MyDD, it looks like many rank-and-file supporters are moving to Obama too; those HRC supporters at MyDD were hardcore too.
It will be interesting to see the language Clinton uses to back Obama on Saturday. Her letter to her own backers shows she is unambiguous about her endorsement. Let's see what that looks like on Saturday.
Wait till November. Obama just got out of the hardest fought primary in recent memory. After America gets to see him standing next to Bush Reloaded on stage for a few months its not going to be a dead heat for long.
Yep, I think any polling at this time is pretty meaningless. We've got a whole summer ahead of us, & we have not even seen Barack & McSame really start to tangle mano-y-mano yet.
Glad Obama supporters really hold on to that whole “change” rhetoric with jabs like Bush Reloaded and McSame.
The hyperventilating over the state of the election This Hour, Minute, or Second is tiresome.
Only idiots believe the nonsense that McCain (often acting more like a Dem than a Republican) is a Bush clone or seeks continuation of the Bush years. Guess who they'll be voting for instead.
I'm smarter than any of them merely by imagining myself as another Mark Helprin (“Let Dole Lead”) and stooping to cobble together words that don't belong in any political ad, article in the Wall Street Journal, or read by Rush Limbaugh, but even if so, would be better than the stupid Bush-bashing.
“Tall he speaks and tall he stands, this Western maverick man…” [gag, retch]
DLS, it would be easier to believe you are “smarter” than any of them if you didn't stoop to calling them “idiots” in your post. Your point would much more relevant if you didn't have to demean your opposition while claiming the high road.
I'm sorry, does McCain not also believe we should stay in Iraq until we've beaten the “Terrorists”? There is no reason to stay there at this point. We are only delaying the inevitable.
While perhaps Romney would have been a much better fit for the Bush Reloaded we've got McCain. At least McCain doesn't believe in torture, and he might do something about the influence of lobbyists, both huge on my agenda, so will Obama. PLUS he intends to get us the hell out of Iraq, the sooner the better. Let that country go thru its final spasms of violence, and then we deal with whats left. Then we can go about trying to clean the stain on our country that was the unnecessary invasion of Iraq.