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You Have To Pick and Choose Your Crazy Folk Carefully

When crazy folk talk, people listen. Especially when that crazy folk is Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (via Agence France Presse):

Ahmadinejad says Israel will soon disappear

Jun 2 08:43 AM US/Eastern

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad predicted on Monday that Muslims would uproot “satanic powers” and repeated his controversial belief that Israel will soon disappear, the Mehr news agency reported.

“I must announce that the Zionist regime (Israel), with a 60-year record of genocide, plunder, invasion and betrayal is about to die and will soon be erased from the geographical scene,” he said.

“Today, the time for the fall of the satanic power of the United States has come and the countdown to the annihilation of the emperor of power and wealth has started.”

Since taking the presidency in August 2005, Ahmadinejad has repeatedly provoked international outrage by predicting Israel is doomed to disappear.

“I tell you that with the unity and awareness of all the Islamic countries all the satanic powers will soon be destroyed,” he said to a group of foreign visitors ahead of the 19th anniversary of the death of revolutionary leader Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.

When Senator Barack Obama mentioned that he would talk to America’s enemies without preconditions, it wasn’t the “without preconditions” that bothered me. It was that he didn’t differentiate the crazy folks. President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad routinely talks about annihilating Israel and apocalyptic visions of destruction (along with that pesky nuclear thing). You can’t give the “without preconditions” angle to His Craziness Ahmadinejad. He just will take that and make you look stupid and naive while infuriating an ally in Israel. Now Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez is a little different. He’s not spouting off annihilation rhetoric. He threw a few “word bombs” at President Bush but he doesn’t represent a big threat. Maybe you can have President Chavez in the Oval Office and break him off a thing or two and get somewhere. But Iran? Methinks that’s like talking to a shark in the water with your wrists slit.

You have to pick and choose your crazy folk carefully. I abhor cowboy diplomacy and want us to use diplomacy more. But not everyone is going to be receptive to diplomacy. And many times, you already know who they are from the jump.

  • Pete Abel
    Good points. Good post. Although I think Obama qualified the Iran talks by noting that Ahmadinejad was not the ultimate voice. Then again, I doubt the higher-ups in Iran are any more sane than Ahmadinejad.
  • Let me add a couple of people to your list:

    'Bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran' - John McCain

    'Well, if we were to bomb the Iranians as I hope and pray we will...' - Norman Podhoretz


    Anyways, I think you're totally missing the point of negotiations and diplomacy. Public relations isn't the goal. And besides, I have faith that Obama can go toe to toe intellectually with anyone on the world stage.
  • Rambie
    Maybe I missed it, when did Mr Obama say he'd have Ahmadinejad over to the Oval Office for tea and crumpets?

    Also, I agree with ChrisWWW, Obama isn't going to cave into the likes of Ahmadinejad.
  • CStanley
    Well, since Obama has already likened himself to Kennedy, why would we not assume that a meeting between him and Ahmadinejad might not turn out as disastrously as Kennedy's summit with Kruschev in Vienna? Even he seems to have realized that his debate answer was foolish (and Biden certainly has said as much.) So no, now he's saying that he wouldn't necessarily meet face to face with Ahmadinejad (and that any meeting like that would have preparations, and if the preparations for it showed that the meeting wouldn't be fruitful then he wouldn't hold the high level meeting.) So apparently Obama himself doesn't have the high level of faith in his intellectual/ diplomatic ability that some of you have.

    But yes, he did initially say he'd meet personally with Ahmedinejad, without precondition, within his first year in office.
  • daveinboca
    Okay, Obama made a silly off-the-cuff mistake in a debate. What doesn't he simply say, "upon further consideration, I now understand that even sitting down and talking with an apocalyptic lunatic like Ahmadodojihad would give that lunatic credibility to the most violent reactionary sexist maniacs in the Islamic world---all the nutjobs who are bombing Danish embassies for cartoons, etc."

    Now if he said that, I would admire Obama.
  • Rambie and ChrisWWW, I just feel there are other "enemies" of America that provide a easier path to success than Ahmadinejad. I've always thought that Hugo Chavez should be the first "enemy" that should be extended direct talks. He's in the Americas and doesn't have the associated religious fanaticism that Ahmadinejad and Company present.

    All that being said, Ahmadinejad and Company will have to be approached. But locking up solid and productive relations with a Chavez would show the world that an Obama presidency is damn serious about diplomacy.
  • runasim
    Do we really have to go throught the whole thing about what diplomacy (differentt than negotions) and ''meet with' (different again) mean?

    Part of diplomacy doesn't even require being in the same country. It begins the minute an official, or public figure, opens his mouth in front of the media, because what is said is immediately dissemianted around the globe.

    Because Bush has been so tone deaf about the words he chooses, the only way to signal a change is to use different words. And remember, when a public figure is speaking about Iran in public, he is inot only speaking to Iran, he is speaking to the whole world.

    The dificulty Obama got caught in, I believe, is that it appears to be impossible, in this political climate, to speak to the world and to his domesic audience at the same time. At home, the wolves wait to pounce on every word and to parse and twiist it to death.
    For the US, Israel and the world, expressing a williness to go to great lengths to avert a cataclismic confornation Is certainly better diplomacy than ''bomb', bomb , Iran' or 'obliterate 'Iran'. Everyone knows we could do both, so the public threats serve nothing but to encourage Iran's tenacity and alienate other countries that would, unwillingly, be impacted. Remember the other ountries listening, who are scared of what the US might do next.

    Simultaneously, threats give too many people the false illusion that actually bombing Iran would provide them with safery and peace. That can not happen, and its dangerous to give people a false sense of what's at stake. That's how we got into the mess known as Iraq, and we shouldn't repeat the same mistake again. Had we had a more realistic idea of what's at stake in opting to go to war in iraq, chances are good, we would be more united on that issue today. No one could claim to have been fooled, at least.

    Even Keistol, speaking to a Jewish, AIPAC-type audience on C-Span said that when it comes to executing foreign policy, the difference between Obama and McCain wasn't that enormous, it was more a difference of degrees and on emphais (words).Of course, Kristol is a 'bomb, bomb' man and made his preference clear, misguided as it is.

    Iran has heard so many threats, I think it's completely immune to them. We should just shut up and if everything else fails, just do it.
    Perhaps a rare, but pointed reference to 'all options' would be a good reminder, and it would carry more impact because of its rarity.

    From everything else Obama has said, I see no reason to doubt his readiness for drasitc action., if it can't be averted. He is simply trying to set a different tone to the voice of America
    Unfortunatley, I think the word parsers and those comforted by the false promise in verbal bravura, will probably force him to be more explicit, and thus tip off Iran as to our strategy.
  • Jim_Satterfield
    I don't know, T-Steel. I think Chavez is just as crazy as Ahmadinejad, just in a different way.
  • Rambie and ChrisWWW, I just feel there are other "enemies" of America that provide a easier path to success than Ahmadinejad.

    If Iran is as dangerous as the wingnuts believe, then it is of the utmost importance that we have a running dialog with them. It's not a question of ease or difficulty but of necessity. Wars - take WWI for example - have been started because of a lack of communication between the major players. Why would we ever dare make the same mistakes again?

    I've always thought that Hugo Chavez should be the first "enemy" that should be extended direct talks.

    I imagine you put quotes around 'enemy' because you realize that Venezuela doesn't threaten us in any way at all.

    ======
    Well, since Obama has already likened himself to Kennedy, why would we not assume that a meeting between him and Ahmadinejad might not turn out as disastrously as Kennedy's summit with Kruschev in Vienna?

    Well since McCain has likened himself to Reagan, maybe he intends to sell weapons to Iran? Do not pass 'go,' do not collect $200.

    Even he seems to have realized that his debate answer was foolish (and Biden certainly has said as much.)

    I'm glad to see you're such a big Biden fan these days :-)
  • CStanley
    Well since McCain has likened himself to Reagan, maybe he intends to sell weapons to Iran? Do not pass 'go,' do not collect $200.LOL, cute...but I have a feeling even you realize the difference here. When I mentioned Obama comparing himself to Kennedy, I didn't mean that he was making a general comparison. It was specifically that meeting with Kruschev that he was referring to. Now, if McCain says that we should consider arms deals just like Reagan did....
  • Come on CStanley... let me pull out some more catch phrases... where's the beef?

    But to play this irrelevant game a little more...

    "I believe that it’s not an accident that our hostages came home from Iran when President Reagan was president of the United States. He didn’t sit down in a negotiation with the religious extremists in Iran, he made it very clear that those hostages were coming home." - John McCain

    Yeah... he wouldn't sit down with em. He'd just give em weapons :-)
  • CStanley
    Hah, touche- I had no idea he'd made that statement so I walked right into that.

    It's a dumb statement, and certainly leaves him open to the criticism you're making- but I think he's actually just reiterating a common conservative belief that the initial hostages who were released on Reagan's inauguration day were set free because Reagan had signalled a hard line approach. There weren't any arms traded for those hostages.

    Still, I'll grant you- it was a dumb thing to say.
  • Well Jim, my best man at my wedding (many moons ago) is from Venezuela and lives there now. He has told me numerous times that Chavez is more blow-hard than blow-upper. He give me weekly updates about ol' Chavez which has steered me into the Obama-should-talk-to-Chavez-first camp (if there is one).

    Maybe I'm looking at this issue too sequentially. Maybe what I should be saying is that some unsavory leaders should be given a little more diplomatic "love" than others but use true diplomacy nevertheless.
  • runasim
    "unsavory leaders should be given a little more diplomatic "love" than others but use true diplomacy nevertheless...."

    The trouble is that one powerful part of our society will not let a US leader do that.
    Any attempt to be nuanced and diplomatic (what I would call reasonable) would immediately cause a political uproar, and consequent party fights.

    The Cubans in Florida contol our Cuban policy (which is stupid, IMO, AIPAC controls our alliance with Israel, conservatives demand tough posturing isntead of pragmatic solutions, and so on.

    It's all about which group has hte money to lobby for votes.

    We can talk abou this in the abstract, but realisticlly, we'll be lucky if we move an inch in a new direction in foreigh affairs. An inch, however would be a start, and maybe it can be extended over time and successive presidendies.
    For today, I choose the candidate who seems willing to start on that first inch.
  • We can talk abou this in the abstract, but realisticlly, we'll be lucky if we move an inch in a new direction in foreigh affairs. An inch, however would be a start, and maybe it can be extended over time and successive presidendies.


    Can't argue with that.
  • kritt11
    runasim- we agree again--- conservatives take what is expedient politically and try to make out that it is about ideology. (though I grant you few liberals have had the guts to take on the Florida Cubans or AIPAC) It is very frustrating that we can't seem to move our foreign policy beyond the boundaries dictated by these powerful interest groups. Its hurting us internationally, just as the oil lobbies are hurting our efforts to move beyond a petroleum based economy.
  • runasim
    "It is very frustrating that we can't seem to move our foreign policy beyond the boundaries dictated by these powerful interest groups. "

    When the SC ruled that money =free speech, the power of moneyed interest groups was encased in stone.
    So far, all efforts to insulale the government from the deep pockets have failed
    Only shaming and the power of persuasion by people of oonscience remain to bolster hope.
  • So what's the idea here. The GWB approach of talking tough and saber rattling has produced less than nothing with respect to Iran. It has worsened the situation and hardened the Iranian position. So is McCain gonna talk tougher and threaten more and THAT's going to work? Or he'll actually attack, with predictable disastrous results? I still can't believe the normally intelligent commenters here who still equate negotiation with appeasement.

    OK, I'll say it again. No one has offered a cogent response yet:

    The police negotiate with criminals in very intense crisis situations in which there is a high possibility of injury or death on both sides. No one accuses them of "appeasement" or of "legitimizing" the criminals. There are no preconditions, as none are possible. There are no "low level talks" because there isn't time (and besides, what sense does it make to give your second string a shot at it first?)

    Negotiation has become a highly evolved strategy with a rich and diverse toolkit. It works an amazing amount of the time. The alternative, from a law enforcement standpoint, is to say "we've got you surrounded, you're outgunned, and we're going to kill you. So do your worst."

    I know I won't convince some commentors here of anything, but it is my hope that readers with more open minds will start thinking about negotiation as a serious tool for resolving conflict, and not some sissy soft liberal "appeasement" strategy. Remember, real world tough guys with guns, actual law enforcement heroes do this every day: they negotiate with the most sociopathic and dangerous people imaginable. And they win. They're not "naive" or stupid or inexperienced or exercising bad judgment. I wish some of them would throw this misrepresentation of the art of diplomacy right back in the GOP's faces. It IS tough, it IS effective and it DOES work, even with crazy people. Especially with crazy people.

    The approach of threatening, of not engaging, and of attacking is a much riskier strategy, both in law enforcement and in international relations.

    I hope the Obama campaign can get across to voting Americans that negotiation is not a gift to our enemies. Negotiation concedes nothing! Is a perfectly valid, legitimate and proven method of resolving conflict.

    Now, as several here have taken a very inflexible position about negotiation, what is your solution? Bomb Iran? Is that really what you're suggesting? Unleashing missiles against a sovereign nation, possibly even nuclear weapons, threatening our own soldiers downwind in Afghanistan with radiation poisoning? Inciting the righteous wrath of the entire Islamic world, of all of our enemies and most of our friends? Or do you have some third option that you haven't stated. Please. Share it with us.
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