Comments on: Obama Leads In North Carolina Democratic Parimary Polling By 10 Percent: Public Policy Polling http://themoderatevoice.com/19381/obama-leads-in-north-carolina-democratic-parimary-polling-by-10-percent-public-policy-polling/ An Internet hub for moderates, centrists, and independents, with domestic and international news, analysis, original reporting, and popular features from the left, center, and right Mon, 23 Nov 2009 00:00:02 -0500 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 By: daveinboca http://themoderatevoice.com/19381/obama-leads-in-north-carolina-democratic-parimary-polling-by-10-percent-public-policy-polling/comment-page-1/#comment-135997 daveinboca Mon, 05 May 2008 20:16:12 +0000 http://themoderatevoice.com/politics/polls/approval-ratings/19381/obama-leads-in-north-carolina-democratic-parimary-polling-by-10-percent-public-policy-polling/#comment-135997 The "Bradley Effect" might be in play where white voters tell pollsters that they're not bigots or prejudiced and then vote for the white candidate. The “Bradley Effect” might be in play where white voters tell pollsters that they're not bigots or prejudiced and then vote for the white candidate.

]]> By: Mike_P http://themoderatevoice.com/19381/obama-leads-in-north-carolina-democratic-parimary-polling-by-10-percent-public-policy-polling/comment-page-1/#comment-135992 Mike_P Mon, 05 May 2008 19:33:43 +0000 http://themoderatevoice.com/politics/polls/approval-ratings/19381/obama-leads-in-north-carolina-democratic-parimary-polling-by-10-percent-public-policy-polling/#comment-135992 I predict... Obama takes NC by 10, plus or minus 1 or 2, net gain of 15 - 16 delegates. Clinton edges in IN by a couple and they split the delegates, with Clinton picking up maybe one or two more than Obama. For the day, Obama wins the popular vote as well as delegate count overall, and Sen. Clinton's "path to victory" remains the pipe dream it has been for a month.<br><br>Hey, I've been at least as accurate as Zogby this year!<br><br>That's my wishful thinking numbers, though. The reality is more likely that Clinton takes IN by a fair amount more, and the overall popular and delegate totals will be close, maybe even a small net gain for Clinton. But even that result still leaves her path to victory a pipe dream. I predict… Obama takes NC by 10, plus or minus 1 or 2, net gain of 15 – 16 delegates. Clinton edges in IN by a couple and they split the delegates, with Clinton picking up maybe one or two more than Obama. For the day, Obama wins the popular vote as well as delegate count overall, and Sen. Clinton's “path to victory” remains the pipe dream it has been for a month.

Hey, I've been at least as accurate as Zogby this year!

That's my wishful thinking numbers, though. The reality is more likely that Clinton takes IN by a fair amount more, and the overall popular and delegate totals will be close, maybe even a small net gain for Clinton. But even that result still leaves her path to victory a pipe dream.

]]> By: Tully http://themoderatevoice.com/19381/obama-leads-in-north-carolina-democratic-parimary-polling-by-10-percent-public-policy-polling/comment-page-1/#comment-135991 Tully Mon, 05 May 2008 19:19:34 +0000 http://themoderatevoice.com/politics/polls/approval-ratings/19381/obama-leads-in-north-carolina-democratic-parimary-polling-by-10-percent-public-policy-polling/#comment-135991 Given the abysmal performance of pollsters over the last decade, the only poll I'm going to buy is the one taken at the ballot box. Given the abysmal performance of pollsters over the last decade, the only poll I'm going to buy is the one taken at the ballot box.

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