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	<title>Comments on: Why we overreact</title>
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		<title>By: runasim</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/19138/why-we-overreact/comment-page-1/#comment-152130</link>
		<dc:creator>runasim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Apr 2008 01:19:49 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Mikkel:,&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;RE: &quot;...constantly trying to be something different immediately instead of asking the best route to get there.&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;It seems to me you are skipping over the main theme presented in the post.&lt;br&gt;It didn&#039;t advocate for immeidate swings to extremes. In my reading,,it addressed the issue  of:  how long do you just keep on asking questions while ignoring a growing problem.  &lt;br&gt;Noting in life is a dead certain prediction about the future, so if we insist on it, we&#039;ll just stay stuck and allow the problem to overwhelm us.  &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I&#039;m befuddled by your warnings about extremism  while simultaneously admiring the libertarians&#039; call   for extreme measures of change.  Isn&#039;t that  self contradictory?   Is it possible to be a conservative (as it relates to change) and a revolutionary (as it relates to libertarianism) at the same time?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mikkel:,</p>
<p>RE: &#8220;&#8230;constantly trying to be something different immediately instead of asking the best route to get there.&#8221;</p>
<p>It seems to me you are skipping over the main theme presented in the post.<br />It didn&#39;t advocate for immeidate swings to extremes. In my reading,,it addressed the issue  of:  how long do you just keep on asking questions while ignoring a growing problem.  <br />Noting in life is a dead certain prediction about the future, so if we insist on it, we&#39;ll just stay stuck and allow the problem to overwhelm us.  </p>
<p>I&#39;m befuddled by your warnings about extremism  while simultaneously admiring the libertarians&#39; call   for extreme measures of change.  Isn&#39;t that  self contradictory?   Is it possible to be a conservative (as it relates to change) and a revolutionary (as it relates to libertarianism) at the same time?</p>
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		<title>By: mikkel</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/19138/why-we-overreact/comment-page-1/#comment-152129</link>
		<dc:creator>mikkel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Apr 2008 00:37:53 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Two points:&lt;br&gt;I agree with your conclusion, but also think it&#039;s a big reason why we swing to &quot;extremes&quot; and are constantly trying to be something different  immediately instead of asking the best route to get there.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The article is a typical one that doesn&#039;t really analyze the situation at all to come to its conclusions. The irony is that the people I&#039;ve read that are most pessimistic are the libertarian types and they are calling for extreme measures (like totally changing how everything is done) since their view is that we are at a crisis of historical proportions because we&#039;ve overreacted to all the little blips in the last 60 years. I have to say I find their exhortations pretty convincing.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Two points:<br />I agree with your conclusion, but also think it&#39;s a big reason why we swing to &#8220;extremes&#8221; and are constantly trying to be something different  immediately instead of asking the best route to get there.</p>
<p>The article is a typical one that doesn&#39;t really analyze the situation at all to come to its conclusions. The irony is that the people I&#39;ve read that are most pessimistic are the libertarian types and they are calling for extreme measures (like totally changing how everything is done) since their view is that we are at a crisis of historical proportions because we&#39;ve overreacted to all the little blips in the last 60 years. I have to say I find their exhortations pretty convincing.</p>
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		<title>By: GeorgeSorwell</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/19138/why-we-overreact/comment-page-1/#comment-152128</link>
		<dc:creator>GeorgeSorwell</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Apr 2008 23:53:34 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Stossel says it&#039;s not a crisis because it&#039;s not as bad as the worst economic depression in history. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Maybe it didn&#039;t get that bad &lt;a href=&quot;http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/newstex/AFX-0013-24177467.htm&quot;&gt;because the government intervened&lt;/a&gt; to prevent it from getting that bad.  Certainly the Treasury Department took unprecedented steps. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Maybe if you&#039;re not overreacting, it&#039;s because you&#039;re not paying attention.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stossel says it&#39;s not a crisis because it&#39;s not as bad as the worst economic depression in history. </p>
<p>Maybe it didn&#39;t get that bad <a href="http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/newstex/AFX-0013-24177467.htm">because the government intervened</a> to prevent it from getting that bad.  Certainly the Treasury Department took unprecedented steps. </p>
<p>Maybe if you&#39;re not overreacting, it&#39;s because you&#39;re not paying attention.</p>
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		<title>By: runasim</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/19138/why-we-overreact/comment-page-1/#comment-152127</link>
		<dc:creator>runasim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Apr 2008 23:35:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themoderatevoice.com/politics/19138/why-we-overreact/#comment-152127</guid>
		<description>I like this take on overreaction.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The danger of overreaction is seldom overreaction per se,. It&#039;&#039;s locking  into irreversible paths due to  overreaction.   The amount of cautious deliberation before acting  at all ougtht to depend,  to a considerable degree, on the degree of irreversible consequences, not all risk equally.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The Iraq war did  not  take irreversible consequences into account enough.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;On the other hand, experiments with ethanol,  while having  produced  some negative results, are not irreversible.   Risk of  that order is acceptable to me, beacuse  even  where ethanol  fails, it&#039;s an object  lesson  in what needs to be adjusted or  done differently &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;This is where  the damaging effects of special interests play a huge role.&lt;br&gt;Their influence interferes with flexibility at every stage:  the pre-action deliberative process, the execution of a plan of acton and the change of course when results aren&#039;t what was expected.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Making every issue  into a political  attack weapon  rather than a difference of opinion doesn&#039;t help either.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I like this take on overreaction.</p>
<p>The danger of overreaction is seldom overreaction per se,. It&#39;&#39;s locking  into irreversible paths due to  overreaction.   The amount of cautious deliberation before acting  at all ougtht to depend,  to a considerable degree, on the degree of irreversible consequences, not all risk equally.</p>
<p>The Iraq war did  not  take irreversible consequences into account enough.</p>
<p>On the other hand, experiments with ethanol,  while having  produced  some negative results, are not irreversible.   Risk of  that order is acceptable to me, beacuse  even  where ethanol  fails, it&#39;s an object  lesson  in what needs to be adjusted or  done differently </p>
<p>This is where  the damaging effects of special interests play a huge role.<br />Their influence interferes with flexibility at every stage:  the pre-action deliberative process, the execution of a plan of acton and the change of course when results aren&#39;t what was expected.</p>
<p>Making every issue  into a political  attack weapon  rather than a difference of opinion doesn&#39;t help either.</p>
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