Update on the MS-01

One thing I forgot to mention in my previous post on the special election for the Mississippi 1st House District: If nobody gets over 50%, it goes to a run off.

That being said, it might not matter. Latest results (40% reporting):

TRAVIS W. CHILDERS (D) 15,321 (53%)
GREG DAVIS (R) 12,634 (43%)

This would be a huge Democratic pick-up, and yet more proof that 2008 might make 2006 look like 2002 (how’s that for political in-geek humor?).

UPDATE: Just as I write that, Davis surges (50% reporting)

TRAVIS W. CHILDERS (D) 16,369 (46%)
GREG DAVIS (R) 17,566 (50%)

UPDATE #2: Far more exciting than Pennsylvania! (92% reporting):

TRAVIS W. CHILDERS (D) 28,931 (47%)
GREG DAVIS (R) 29,390 (48%)

I consider a run-off a Democratic win, not just because it exceeds expectations, but because it forces the NRCC to spend more money.

UPDATE #3: There are still three precincts left to report, but it looks Childers is just going to fall short of winning this seat outright. If those last three precincts break the way their neighbors have gone, he’ll be 400 votes short of crossing 50% (99% reporting).

Travis Childers (D) 32,376 (49%)
Greg Davis (R) 30,923 (47%)