An Internet hub with domestic and international news, analysis, original reporting, and popular features from the left, center, indies, centrists, moderates, and right

Gallup Daily: Obama Support Holding Despite Small-Town “Bitter” Flap

A new national Gallup Daily tracking poll shows no signs that the controversy swirling around Senator Barack Obama’s comments about people who live in small towns is sparking political fallout:

Barack Obama, who has come under attack by his presidential rivals for describing small-town voters as “bitter,” seems to be weathering the storm to this point as far as voters are concerned. He maintains a 10 percentage point lead over Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination, 50% to 40%, according to the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking.

That 10-point lead matches Obama’s best of the campaign, and even as the controversy has dominated the political airwaves, Obama’s support remained strong in tracking interviews conducted on Saturday and Sunday. It is likely Clinton and Republican John McCain will continue to remind voters of the remarks, and the possibility remains that it could affect voters in the coming days, but so far they seem unaffected by the controversy.

Obama has now held a significant lead over Clinton in Democratic voters’ nomination preferences for the last eight days, averaging roughly an 8-point lead, compared with the current 10-point spread. During this time, 50% of Democratic voters have supported him on average, matching the latest figure for interviewing conducted April 11-13.

Another factor to consider if you want to try and guess the outcomes of upcoming polls: Obama has now launched a counter offensive against Clinton and McCain. Will this have an impact?

And the impact in Pennsylvania?

Polls vary.

But a new ARG poll has Clinton opening up a 20 point lead now. Some say this poll is inaccurate.

The keys will be (1) poll trending in coming days and (2) whether Clinton or Obama can can use this week’s debate to advance their campaign (or sandbag the other’s).

Here’s the new Pollster.com graph with the ARG poll factored in:
wholefoodstime.png

Blog reaction to the Gallup poll HERE.



3 Responses to “Gallup Daily: Obama Support Holding Despite Small-Town “Bitter” Flap”

  1. Pyronite says:

    Interesting (and good to see) when TalkLeft comes out against the ARG poll. Big Tent Democrat is a very outspoken Clinton supporter.

  2. Mike_P says:

    I think the polls are wildly inaccurate with regards to Pennsylvania. Surprisingly, even as an Obama supporter I think the ARG poll may not be the outlier here – I think the others have it too close. Hillary is going to win Penn., and likely by 10-plus percent. I'd really love to be wrong, but I just don't think so.

    Al Giordano, who has been an uncanny prognosticator this year and who is no ally of Sen. Clinton, argues the same point at his blog “The Field” -
    http://ruralvotes.com/thefield/?p=1041

  3. elrod says:

    Giordano, to be fair, made that analysis a long time ago before the Casey endorsement or the bus tour.

    I think Clinton will win by around 10, which won't be enough to make a real delegate dent.

© 2003-2011 The Moderate Voice | Site design by Elegant Themes | Site customization, hosting, and security by Mode Equity