An Internet hub for moderates, centrists, and independents, with domestic and international news, analysis, original reporting, and popular features from the left, center, and right

« Martin Luther King and J. Edgar Hoover

The Moderate Voice on the Radio »

Sabato’s Crystal Ball: SD Math & Winner Take All

Posted by HOLLY IN CINCINNATI, Copy Editor in Politics.
Apr 3rd, 2008 | Comments

Larry Sabato has two guest columns for us this week, Wesley Little on WHAT IF DEMOCRATS USED WINNER TAKE ALL? Without proportional allocation Obama would trail AND Alan I. Abramowitz on SUPERDELEGATE MATH: Unpledged delegate projections don’t favor Clinton

WHAT IF DEMOCRATS USED WINNER TAKE ALL? Without proportional allocation Obama would trail

SUPERDELEGATE MATH: Unpledged delegate projections don’t favor Clinton

Ads by Project Wonderful! Your ad here, right now: $0

StockBoySF

On the "Winner Take All" article... someone please explain to me why Clinton won TX (and all 193 delegates) under this particular article, when in real life Obama actually won more delegates (and the state) then Clinton.

The article's premise is that whoever won the state wins all the delegates (and not based on the actual proportional support). Given that Obama won more delegates in the TX primacaucus, I would imagine that the 193 delegates would be awarded to him. Or is this some more of Bush's fuzzy math that Hillary's supporters are trotting out to show that if they play around with the numbers enough that she actually is ahead?

So the true results in a winner takes all scenario would still have Obama ahead.

Under the true results in the winner take all scenario (since Obama did win TX) Hillary would wind up with only 1,234 delegates and Obama has 1,453.

blog comments powered by Disqus