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Sabato’s Crystal Ball: SD Math & Winner Take All
Larry Sabato has two guest columns for us this week, Wesley Little on WHAT IF DEMOCRATS USED WINNER TAKE ALL? Without proportional allocation Obama would trail AND Alan I. Abramowitz on SUPERDELEGATE MATH: Unpledged delegate projections don’t favor Clinton
WHAT IF DEMOCRATS USED WINNER TAKE ALL? Without proportional allocation Obama would trail
SUPERDELEGATE MATH: Unpledged delegate projections don’t favor Clinton
2 Responses to “Sabato’s Crystal Ball: SD Math & Winner Take All”
[...] The Moderate Voice – Domestic and international news analysis, irreverent comments, original reporti… added an interesting post today on Sabatoâ [...]
On the “Winner Take All” article… someone please explain to me why Clinton won TX (and all 193 delegates) under this particular article, when in real life Obama actually won more delegates (and the state) then Clinton.
The article's premise is that whoever won the state wins all the delegates (and not based on the actual proportional support). Given that Obama won more delegates in the TX primacaucus, I would imagine that the 193 delegates would be awarded to him. Or is this some more of Bush's fuzzy math that Hillary's supporters are trotting out to show that if they play around with the numbers enough that she actually is ahead?
So the true results in a winner takes all scenario would still have Obama ahead.
Under the true results in the winner take all scenario (since Obama did win TX) Hillary would wind up with only 1,234 delegates and Obama has 1,453.