Note that Obama's support comes more from the younger voters, while Clinton's comes from the older voters, and industrial areas in Ohio and elsewhere feature an aging work force. (Don't any of you recall the problems GM and Ford have with their “legacy costs,” which aren't just decisions made long ago but which involve huge payments in pensions and health care costs to retirees?) Naturally they are not going to rush to vote for a “fresh, new face” when Clinton is already a Dem insider with ties to unions and such.

Also: people are and do differ on Obama and Hillary and it's increasingl clear that each side is feeling stronger and stronger about it. I'm wondering how the Demmies can unite. This is not your usual rivalry so far…

I don't want your Democratic party.

Lit3

That explains the wherefore of his flawed rational, but not its why.

Dr.e

Fear or hope, Hillary? Listen to your husband, you know, the one who was making the decisions and doing the negotiations in the West Wing while you occupied the East Wing. Or did she and Bill violate national security laws to bring her in on critical national security decisions without security clearance? Not that he, or she and he made such great decisions, come to think of it. Guess we'll have to judge based the documentation of her experience. Oh yeah, she wants that kept secret. We're supposed to take her word for it.

Hillary's actual experience? “Thin gruel”

My analysis:

1) O has a delegate lead
2) O has about a 6-799k popular vote lead
3) there is no way Hillary will be able to make either deficit up
4) she will end up, at best, down 120 or so delegates, and down 500k+ votes
5) that's at best
6) the Dems will not commit hari-kiri by pulling a Bush 2000 and selecting Hillary
7 because the Obamaheads wd walk, and Big Mac would kill Hill the Chill
because O will not take a VP slot when he shd be the #1 guy
9) black people would pull a Rodney King if the first black Prez candidate w a real shot at winning is screwed
10) Obama is more electable because he can win in states Hillary cannot
11) because Hillary is eking out wins in the traditional Dem strongholds
12) but O is blowing her out in Red states
13) therefore, Hill's campaign against Mac wd be a defensive one cuz no red state will go blue for her
14) because she has no appeal to Indies
15) while O does appeal to Indies more than Mac
16) and O draws Rep voters, while Hill does not
17) therefore a Mac-O matchup would put Mac on the defensive and O on the offensive
18) because O can win Red states
19) and he's done this all by actually living up to his promise not to fight dirty
20) where Hill only has dirt left and will lose fairly.

Any questions?

What works best for Obama is when he makes a substantive charge about Hillary's position and it sticks. I'm talking about her bogus foreign policy experience claims, which look laughable every day. Are white men in Pennsylvania going to be impressed by her national security credibility because she showed up in Sarajevo to sing with Sinbad and Sheryl Crow? She raised the national security issue and now she will pay for it.

Also, the superdelegates will not overturn the pledged delegate lead. If they do, you can count on African Americans staying home in November. And then it's President John McCain. The superdelegates are not impressed by silly meta-analysis about knife fighters. They look at electability, polls, and most importantly, the pledged delegate lead up to that point. The know that choosing Hillary over Obama based on some dubious calculus will destroy the party. They aren't stupid.

1) O has a delegate lead
2) O has about a 6-799k popular vote lead
3) there is no way Hillary will be able to make either deficit up
4) she will end up, at best, down 120 or so delegates, and down 500k+ votes
5) that's at best
6) the Dems will not commit hari-kiri by pulling a Bush 2000 and selecting Hillary
7 because the Obamaheads wd walk, and Big Mac would kill Hill the Chill
because O will not take a VP slot when he shd be the #1 guy
9) black people would pull a Rodney King if the first black Prez candidate w a real shot at winning is screwed
10) Obama is more electable because he can win in states Hillary cannot
11) because Hillary is eking out wins in the traditional Dem strongholds
12) but O is blowing her out in Red states
13) therefore, Hill's campaign against Mac wd be a defensive one cuz no red state will go blue for her
14) because she has no appeal to Indies
15) while O does appeal to Indies more than Mac
16) and O draws Rep voters, while Hill does not
17) therefore a Mac-O matchup would put Mac on the defensive and O on the offensive
18) because O can win Red states
19) and he's done this all by actually living up to his promise not to fight dirty
20) where Hill only has dirt left and will lose fairly.