An Internet hub for moderates, centrists, and independents, with domestic and international news, analysis, original reporting, and popular features from the left, center, and right

Fuggedabout the Primaries. It’s Time For The Main Event: That’s Obama & McCain

01aa_obama_mccain.jpg

For not entirely altruistic reasons – including a mix of over stimulation and exhaustion — I hope that when the sun comes up on Wednesday morning Hillary Clinton will have seen the light and is heading home to Chappaqua with with Bill and Chelsea.

The mathematical chances of Clinton taking the Democratic nomination away from Barack Obama without huge victories in both Texas and Ohio tomorrow are slim to none depending upon how you do the math.

Some 35 primaries and caucuses and 20 debates later, there also isn’t a whole lot more for Clinton and Obama to say to differentiate the kind of president they assert that they will be. In Clinton’s case, that’s a whole lot more of the same things we’ve gotten over the last 16 years. In Obama’s case it’s a vow to change a whole lot of those same things.

Obama has been looking past Clinton toward John McCain for some time now. Same for McCain looking past that pesky Mike Huckabee toward Obama.

The Republican primary season has been notable for low expectations as the majority of a field of six largely indistinguishable candidates jostled to see who could do the best George Bush imitation while pandering to the party’s jittery conservative base. McCain has prevailed not by virtue of his strengths — save for perseverance – but because of his opponents’ weaknesses.

The Democratic primary season has been notable for high expectations as the majority of a field of nine largely distinguishable candidates jostled to see who could be the biggest populist. Obama has prevailed because of his strengths — notably the vision thing — although Clinton has been a worthy opponent who happened to be tone deaf to an electorate desperate for change.

But enough is enough and although the party conventions are still five months away, John Edwards has asked his delegates to stick with him until then and Huckabee continues to be a nuisance, it’s not too soon for the heart of the most important presidential campaign of my lifetime to begin.

The backdrop to that campaign could not be darker. The economy continues to implode, the dollar is in free fall, the budget deficit is out of control, the Bush administration continues to thumb its nose at the Rule of Law, and America’s world standing has tanked.

I for one am more than ready for the primary horserace to end and the Obama-McCain smack down to begin because I and other voters need some answers and Clinton needs to keep secret her tax returns.

While Obama began to put meat on the bones of his hope-and-change mantra as the primary campaign unfolded and has an impressive number of policy papers on issues ranging from Iraq to global warming, I continue to have substantial concerns over how he and a presumably Democratic Congress will break the logjam in Washington as well as undo some the greater excesses of the Bush Era. The burden is on Obama to explain beyond feel good-isms how that will happen.

My number one issue is the conduct of the so-called Global War on Terror and on that Obama is refreshingly specific compared to Clinton’s persistent waffling on GWOT’s bastard child, the Iraq war. Obama has offered a reasonable timetable for U.S. troop withdrawals that strikes fear into the Baghdad regime. He also goes an important step further and vows to change the mindset that got us into this mess to begin with.

While McCain has basked in the glow of his reputation as a maverick, the record is less than charitable to him on that count. While that recent New York Times story on his alleged dalliance with a lobbyist was a mess, McCain’s claim that he has gone straight since he was burned by the Keating Five scandal is bunk. I have substantial concerns over how much of a maverick he really will be. The burden is on McCain to state in explicit terms how he will be different than The Decider.

Certainly not on Iraq, where McCain has staked out a position that is a carbon copy of President Bush’s, changing rationales and all. He not only has no troop withdrawal timetable, but crows that it would be just fine if our sons and daughters stay in Iraq for 100 years. Worst still, he is a poster boy for the mindset that got us into this misadventure and could get the U.S. into others such as military strikes against Iran.

Obama’s proseletizing has been awesome, but he needs to get more specific. McCain can’t afford to get more specific because the more he does the more he seems like Clinton in conservative mufti — and we know what has happened to her.

When all is said and done, the campaign may come down to dueling versions of patriotism.

It wasn’t until I heard Barack Obama speak two days before Super Tuesday that I fully realized the inherent patriotism in his message; the crowd of 20,000 or so crammed into the central square in my hometown certainly did. John McCain, of course, believes that as a war hero he has the franchise on patriotism, but I have some bad news for him:

In 2008, speaking out against what ails America and vowing to correct it is a lot more patriotic than embracing the dreary status quo.

  • elrod
    The difference is age. War hero status is mixed in history. Not only have there been several war-hero Presidents (Washington, Jackson, Harrison, Taylor, Grant, Garfield, Eisenhower, JFK, TR) but there have also been several war-hero political failures (Scott, Hancock, McGovern, Dole, Kerry). War status is no guarantee for political victory, though it undoubtedly helps. Alas, the biggest difference is how one converts one's war experience into policy and overall image. Being a war hero in a long ago conflict doesn't impress as much as recent heroism, for example. Vietnam, believe it or not, is finally starting to recede in the public memory. McCain's service in Vietnam began 40 years ago, though his imprisonment lasted five years.

    Obama came of political age in the early 1980s when America was not at war. As a political Gen. Xer - and the first of that generation - his patriotism cannot be judged on the basis of experience in wartime. It must be examined differently. Whatever one concludes about the merits of Obama's personal story as an example of patriotism - or in the case of his most vicious critics lack thereof - one cannot escape the obvious generational difference between Obama and McCain. This is the starkest age gap in US Presidential history.

    In a change election youth helps. In a change election youth reinforces a new direction and new ideas. In a change election youth inspires turnout among younger voters. The last election of this sort was in 1960. We've had other change elections - 1992, 1980, 1976, 1968 - but nothing so defined by generational difference. That will be the story.
  • Slamfu
    This is just silly. Sure Obama looks like he's going to win but its still a really close race. If this election cycle has shown us anything its don't count your chickens. McCain himself was all but done for not long ago and look at him now.

    Also, I seriously disagree that McCain thinks he has the franchise on patiotism. I'm sure many in the GOP feel that way, but one of the reasons I've like McCain is that he doesn't make wild blanket assertions like that. Unlike so many of his fellow republicans every time they want a cheap shot sound bite.
  • DLS
    Obama is a Baby Boomer, not a Gen Xer, even if the Xers and younger voters are his most devoted groupies.

    Yes, the younger people are disconnected with much. In addition to being often naive, they grew up in the 1980s, which was after the energy crises (if we say all people born after the Iranian revolution and its energy shock) and after the zenith of liberalism and the worst of its failures resulted in changes that we have seen since the 1980 election, particuarly that of Reagan. Only the naive young have an unlimited faith and body of assumptions about the guaranteed and inevitable magic that government, especially Washington, can achieve. (Overreach once more will be, or should be, properly admonished by a repetition of the 1994 elections and a Democratic White House forced to concede substantially to its opposition. I can only imagine the shattered reaction among Obama groupies the first time it would happen with a President Obama.) They never lived through the ambitious Great Society years, the widespread riots and disruptions, radicalism of liberalism and even of the Democratic Party, and the failures that nobody sensible expects to repeat since 1980. They have not lived in, or through, any of this.

    It's with McCain that I believe we can confidently arrive at conclusions before things conclude, you might say. I don't think McCain stands a chance against Obama and even with all her negatives, McCain would likely lose to Clinton as well. Disenchantment with the GOP, which was registered in 2006, shows no signs of diminishing. The lastest Pew report I read showed the Dems leading the GOP by double-digit margins on nine of twelve issues of concern to voters this year. This looks even more strong for the Dems this year than it did for Al Gore up until his self-destruction in the debates (almost to election day!) in 2000. People underestimate how many people will vote for McCain, particularly if Clinton is the Dems' eventual nominee, but I believe it will not be enough to overcome how so many feel about the current GOP in Washington (not merely the Bush Administration).

    But right now the neglect (and as we see, a lot of the abuse otherwise directed at Bush and anyone who isn't fully filled with hatred for Bush) is reserved mainly for Clinton and her underestimated voters.
blog comments powered by Disqus
© 2005-2009 The Moderate Voice | Site design by Elegant Themes | Site customization, hosting, and security by Enxit Group, LLC