Comments on: Can Obama Win Texas?

By: DLS

DLS — Mon, 18 Feb 2008 23:12:00 +0000

I believe the odds are against it given the trend among Hispanics for Clinton, but you never know — I heard on NPR (yes, I listen to it) Friday that some Hispanics are voting for Obama rather than for Clinton. Moreover, the delegates are awarded proportionately in Texas as in other states, aren't they, so Obama can win quite a lot of them, particularly in places like Austin, but don't forget Dallas and probably Houston.

By: cosmoetica

cosmoetica — Mon, 18 Feb 2008 22:26:57 +0000

I live in Austin, and only Latinos are supporting Hillary. White folk and black folk are big on Obama, and with Big Mac as the GOP rep, I know many Reps have told me they'll vote to sink Hillary, just to damn the Clintons. Not a single Indy voter (me incl.) is pro-Hillary.

Right now I say O wins by 2-3% pts, but id the momentum continues, spurred on by the faux plagiarism BS, and Hill's increasingly pathetic desperation, it could end up between 5 & 10% for O.

By: PaulSilver

PaulSilver — Mon, 18 Feb 2008 18:36:56 +0000

It is not a guaranteed win for Obama here in Texas, but 2,000 showed up to volunteer at the opening of the Austin Texas HQ on Saturday to do what we can.

If voters are open to be persuaded then they will be contacted several times to hear our pitch.

By: Polimom

Polimom — Mon, 18 Feb 2008 17:20:26 +0000

Here's a different poll, with rather different results: American Research Group

Given how well polls have been predicting things thus far, I don't know why we're even bothering...

By: Rudi

Rudi — Mon, 18 Feb 2008 15:41:50 +0000

This is just a single poll and Obamama is at 40%. But the composite average of all polls at pollster.com/ has the same results. But the trend line(or slope) shows Obama surging with two weeks to go, on the basis of this trend I say Obamama may actually win in Texas and Billary will be burnt toast.