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Pre-Super Tuesday Pre-Jitters

It is ON. 

The race between Obama and Clinton is tightening (Gallup currently describes it as a "statistical dead heat," 46-44%) and McCain may—or may not— be on the verge of solidifying his hold.  Or not.  As Gandelman says, "Polls have been hideously wrong this year."  Shut up, polls.  Meanwhile, I’m gearing myself up to cope with a result that might not be to my liking (Romney) or  not quite to my liking (Obama or Hillary? I don’t know). It’s a moot issue for me in one sense: we had our votes in Florida last week and it doesn’t matter anyway since the DNC—who I will never, NEVER forgive—stripped us of our delegates, thus disenfranchising me for a procedural decision over which I had zero control. On the other hand, I’m as invested in seeing the best outcome for both primaries, so I am certainly sitting on the edge of my seat, super-Tuesday-wise.

I just wish I had a clearer idea which Democrat I want to win. I swing back and forth every time one of the candidates or one of their everlasting "surrogates" puts a crafty thumb on the scales.

While I’m clear why I prefer McCain (duh) to Romney, I am very unsettled in my own mind what outcome I’d like to see as between Hillary and Obama. You can see Obama’s "Yes We Can" video here. Shut up, Obama’s "Yes We Can" video. I want to know what Obama is going to do about the problems in his health care platform.

Bill Kavanaugh sums up my concern—as an Edwards supporter—about Obama’s health plan in a nutshell, particularly now that Obama apparently is gaining momentum.  He also sums up my remaining concerns about Hillary’s commitment level, though I’m not nearly as worried about that.

Clinton has cloned the Edwards proposal in her healthcare plank, but Edwards voters aren’t sure she’ll be able to sell it—or be willing to fight for its passage without watering it down. Obama looks like a fighter, but his healthcare proposal will be dead in the water as is.
It’s not a mandatory coverage plan and without covering everyone, it doesn’t actually have much of a prayer of success. (Bill’s Big Diamond Blog)

Yep, that’s about the size of it. And—though fairly neutral as between the two remaining candidates—I’m very worried, since this is one of my two or three major issues. Sigh.

I don’t know why I don’t feel the Obama spell—or rather, why, though I feel it, I keep coming out of it. He is new and fresh and comparatively untarnished.  He isn’t married to a former president who managed to get himself impeached under traumatically humiliating circumstances. He is young and handsome and has a vibrant (as opposed to a somewhat metallic) speaking voice.  His very candidacy shows a thrilling, inspiring, epoch-making sea change in our nation that I used to think (growing up in the South in the Sixties) that I’d never live to see. So why?

Possibly my lack of enthusiasm is precisely because Obama has got such a dazzling window display. To paraphrase Sinclair Lewis, there’s still some doubt in my mind how much there is on the shelves inside. I don’t trust charisma. I’ve seen what happens when the public chooses a president based on "the likability factor" or the "dazzle factor."

Recently, of course, there was the "Harry & Louise" revival, which just exacerbated a lot of my concerns about Obama’s fitness to recognize the role that insurance companies play in making health care non-affordable in the first place and insurance non-affordable in the second.  At Kiko’s House, Shaun Mullen wrote:

[T]he Obama campaign’s new direct-mail ads (and I’ve gotten three earlier ads compared to none from Clinton or any other candidates) hit below the belt: They intentionally misrepresent Clinton’s health-care plan and are a reminder of the also misleading "Harry and Louise" ads aired by the health-care industry that did much to bring down her sweeping 1993 health-care proposal.

The Obama ads claim that everyone will be forced to buy insurance under the Clinton plan even if they can’t afford it, which is plain old fear mongering since her plan offers subsidies to lower-income families and Obama himself has conceded that under his own plan people who don’t buy
insurance might have to be penalized.

Memo to Obama: Knock it off!

Shaun Mullen likes Obama better than I do (as I say, I like him, but I like Clinton just about as well) but even so seems to be feeling some of the same unease I do about his failure to address issues squarely.  Barring the ad (which was misleading) and some equally misleading references to her beliefs/platform in a recent speech, it’s all glittering rhetoric and calls to arms and stirring exhortations to embrace change and believe. I need to hear a consistent focus from him on his specific plans for bringing about the changes he promises.

And I need Bill Clinton to continue to stand down. Or do I? Though he’s been—in the immortal words of Larry Craig—a very naughty boy lately, I am really quite fond of him.

And Robert Stein has a great suggestion:

Forget the Super Bowl. Here’s a match for Pay-Per-View–the Clintons vs. the Obamas.

Now that the candidates have shown in their last debate how well they bounce the conversational ball between them, why not schedule a round of doubles?…

As Hillary keeps explaining away embarrassments by Bill, she always notes that Barack too has a supportive spouse. Yesterday’s Washington Post observes,
“It is fascinating enough that Bill Clinton and Michelle Obama are playing on the same field as their partners duel for the Democratic nomination. More intriguing still is her effectiveness, hardly a given for a recent campaign recruit matched against a two-term president….

As this crucial campaign heads toward a two-for-one confrontation, a cable network could do worse than scheduling an hour for the Clintons and Obamas to sit together and talk politics.

There may or may not be social significance in the contrast between the out-front nature of potential Democratic First Spouses and the more conventional Republican mates, but the changes in the White House domestic scene have been evolving ever since the days of Eleanor Roosevelt.

That’s a thought: let’s see the spouses together in action! After all, one of the things Edwards had going for him as far as I was concerned was Elizabeth. Maybe what I need to tip the scales definitively is an opportunity to watch the candidates for First Spouse in action at the same time?

In the meantime, I think I’ve made my choice…FOR NOW.

I voted for Hillary last week because—whatever my objections to certain aspects of her campaign—she has the platform best designed to serve my interests. I wonder if all Obama’s supporters have really looked behind the curtain to see if the same is true for him? I’m not saying no; I’m quite sincere in wondering.

What if, instead of focusing on which candidate we "like," we focused instead on choosing the person who was committing to do the best job of serving our interests?

That is why I initially chose Edwards and why I am now tilting Hillary-wards. Hey, I don’t have to like her (though actually I do very much). I just have to believe she’ll do whatever else it takes to see that the job gets done. I do believe this. I believe Obama would do whatever it takes to get the job done too. I just wish I were clearer about exactly what he’s planning to do if he gets the nomination. After all, between one great candidate and another, I want the one who is best for me.

CROSS-POSTED TO BUCK NAKED POLITICS

  • steverino9
    We've got to chase the Republicans from power, but I don't think Hillary Clinton can win in November against John McCain.

    Obama is the choice--he's got the momentum and he has captured the imagination of the public.
  • PaulSilver
    My attraction to Obama is his temperament. He seems to be a progressive with an open mind about methods and solutions regardless of the source. I further believe that he would attract candid negotiations with stakeholders in the various controversies.
    I think he may be more able to bring groups to consensus than Hillary or McCain.
  • StockBoySF
    Hey Damozel, you said; "What if, instead of focusing on which candidate we "like," we focused instead on choosing the person who was committing to do the best job of serving our interests?"

    Well, I think using that criteria Obama is the hands down winner (and I love this blog where we all come up with different answers, each valid! I enjoyed reading your posting and it's very interesting. I hope are able to take something away from my thoughts as I did from yours).

    I used to consider Hillary my number two choice (behind Obama) but I no longer will vote for her and here's why: the Iran Revolutionary Guard vote came up and Hillary voted for it! Obama didn't vote but was against it. At any rate, I saw the same Bush game being played- Bush was putting the pieces in place to go to war with Iran and Hillary gave bush what he wanted (just like she did with Iraq, which I forgave her for). Now don't get me wrong, I think Iran is a threat but we need to deal with them in a sensible fashion. But I think Hillary cast that vote for political reasons, and not what was for our best interest. She was willing to go along with Bush's warmongering ways as a way to show she was tough. That, to me, shows she follows her interests, and not the country's interests. Also the way she is conducting her campaign (the sleaze ball tactics and her willingness to divide the country along race and gender for her own benefit) further supports this. I'm not saying that any candidate is sterling (and Obama isn't). But I really do want a President whose words and actions of unity both match. I'm really tired of politicians who use some variant of the "I'm a uniter not a divider" line. They say it, but then turn right around and do just the opposite. Obama (to my knowledge) has not said it, rather he says, "We are one America." He sees us as being in this together. Obama has also been the most consistent in his positions of any of the candidates. He doesn't flip flop just to gain votes.

    To be fair, though... I think all the candidates (both Dem and Rep.) do want what is best for the country. It's just that they have different ideas.

    For Bush it's "I'm President, I'm right so do as I say at all costs."

    For Hillary it's, "I'm President, here's what I want. What do we need to do to achieve it. Who do we need to negotiate with?"

    For Obama it's, "I'm President and this issue is very important to the country. What are your thoughts on solving it?" Obama may have his own ideas but he wants others' input before a final decision. Obama is the only candidate truly interested in understanding others' points of view and addressing their concerns.

    Lastly, I do share some of your thoughts and concerns on Obama's dazzle factor. But in Bush we elected someone who was likable, had years of experience running one of the largest states in the country AND someone who came from one of America's political dynastic families. He was sure to be a good President.... And yet that still didn't work out for us....

    Because Bush has caused so much division in this country (and with him it's always "us versus them") we need someone who can heal our country. That's the most important task for the next President. Certainly we need a competent President who can appoint cabinet members to run the government, but at this time we are sorely in need of a charismatic leader who can show us what it means to be Americans. Someone who can heal, inspire and motivate us to become a better America.

    So if you want to know who is better for the day to day running of the government (which will be done be various departments and cabinet members anyway) all the candidates have strengths and weaknesses. All would do better than Bush and the "dazzle" factor isn't important with regards to that. However if you want to know which candidate can heal our soul and inspire us, that is Obama, no question about it. Not just because he's charismatic, but because he's the only one who understands this need.
  • chuckbutcher
    Damozel,
    it sure would be nice if you placed the blame for MI/FL where it belonged and it sure isn't DNC. You sure can blame your legislature (Republican) and you sure can blame your State Democratic Party for going ahead anyhow. Both were told in advance of their actions of the sanction, both had alternatives, went anyhow. Went ahead because your State importance trumped the Rules. Your state party could have run a delegate selection caucus or self-financed a Primary, did neither. You let them, yes you did.

    I live E of BF Egypt in OR, nowhere, small town - no really a small town and I am on first name basis with a bunch of the movers and shakers in politics in this state. I get listened to and sometimes I even get important changes made. That happens because I participate, I spend time, effort, some money and a whole lot of listening on the game. Our state party set up a fall back position when our State Leg started talking about jumping order, and then we talked them out of it. We've built a relationship that lets us flex a little muscle, a little. But we covered our butts and our voter's butts. We didn't decide that our voters could go hang because we're sooooo important.

    DNC did everything including kiss your butt, what they didn't do was tell you that you OWN the Democratic Party, and that's how that one goes. I am sorry as all get out that you personally got screwed, but if you felt that strongly about it, there were alternatives and you were only left out by YOUR own choice. County Party active membership is probably less than 0.5% of registered Democrats in any county, think how few of you could have made your voices count...
  • DAMOZEL
    Wow, chuckbutcher....I'm....I'm sorry. I DIDN'T KNOW! I didn't mean to!.....Nah, just kidding. I'm furious at the state legislature as well and furious with the people who bargained away my delegates, but ultimately, it's the DNC that's in control of the "punishment" and now that they're begging for my money? ha ha ha ha. No. I'm contributing directly to the campaigns I support. "You let them, yes you did." Yes, and I also "let" George W. Bush invade Iraq.

    As for everyone else, the conventional wisdom is that Hillary can't win. I wonder about that, but it's a valid point. I'm not sure that Obama will be as attractive to independents and Republicans as all that and I am suspicious that the Republicans are so prematurely anxious to eliminate Hillary. As soon as Obama wins, they are going to be going after him on experience and saying what worries me: he spent most of his time in the Senate campaigning, while Hillary sat on some of the most powerful committees.

    Stockboy: I don't see the Iraq issue quite as unambiguously as most Dems, and I feel that she has a more realistic grasp on foreign relations than any contender in the race, so even when I don't "like" her votes, I trust her to know what she's doing. I don't even hold it against her that she voted for the war.

    I'm not sure at this juncture what the right thing to do there is or what we should do about Iran. I am amazed at all the Democrats who do apparently know. Apparently they are privy to information that I've missed. The situation, as always, seems complex to me, and unfortunately it's like the hotel California: you can check out any time you like, but you can never leave.

    But I may be wrong. I don't pretend to know. I trust Hillary to do the politic thing, which is what I ask from a president. I trust Obama to do the popular thing, which is NOT what I want.

    As for whether he has a more open or more progressive mind, he seems far less progressive to me than she does, but this may be illusion. I am going by aspects of his platform. End of the day, I don't know either one as a person well enough to assess. But I do feel I "know"---and very much like---Hillary Clinton.
    ]
    What I'd really like would be a clinton/obama ticket, but if I can't have that, obama/edwards.
  • DLS
    Too many of y'all are tripping overselves with silliness over Obama, but he's obviously more attractive as a candidate than Clinton and anyone who can take Clinton out of the race is at least to some extent a friend of this country.
  • StockBoySF
    damozel- yeah, the Iran issue is complicated. I haven't even given any thought as to what Dems are thinking about it. I just assumed that the Dems wanted to approach Iran more intelligently than Bush, which means negotiating with them without setting a "no uranium enrichment" precondition. I guess that says something (and maybe a lot) about me, though I'm not sure what or whether it's good or bad. Thanks for the posts.
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