Democrats May Well Take the House

David Fitzsimmons, The Arizona Star

“Democrats are promising an all-out blitz to win the House in 2014. There’s just one lingering question: Which Republicans can really be unseated? The problem: Republicans used the once-a-decade redistricting process to shore up many of their members, leaving Democrats with few ripe GOP targets. Only four Republican incumbents are in seats that tilt toward Democrats — a fraction of the 17 seats Democrats need to net in order to seize the majority. In fact, there’s reason to believe that the 2014 playing field favors Republicans: There are 15 Democrats representing GOP-leaning districts, so Democrats will need to invest heavily just to maintain their current membership in the House. The daunting playing field is one of many challenges facing Democrats in 2014. Midterm elections are typically losers for the party in the White House. And outside conservative groups outspent Democratic ones 2 to 1 over the past two election cycles.” ...Politico via Political Wire

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“There’s growing angst among Republicans that the party’s House majority could be at risk in 2014 if the deep GOP divisions that emerged during the recent ‘fiscal cliff’ negotiations persist in looming negotiations over a slew of budgetary issues,” The Hill reports.

“Even as Republican officials maintain the GOP majority is safe, several lawmakers and longtime activists warn of far-reaching political ramifications if voters perceive Republicans as botching consequential talks on the debt ceiling, sequestration and a possible government shutdown.” … Political Wire

Cross-posted from Prairie Weather

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Author: PRAIRIE WEATHER

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3 Comments

  1. Only reps can take the house from reps. Primary loses to tea party challengers might level the field.

  2. The GOP may have doomed themselves with the redistricting they performed. Now only Tea Party types can be elected in some of these districts and the GOP is stuck with them for another ten years. Unintended consequences, or incompetent leadership, take your pick. Even if less controversial candidates were available, Citizens United will make sure they are the right candidates.

  3. On the Citizens United point, that’s a double-edged sword. I can easily see a situation where corporate money abandons the GOP if their continued shenanigans causes market instability.

    Corporate loyalty only lasts as long as the profit curve. They’ll abandon the GOP if they aren’t returns.

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