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Iowa Caucuses & Predictions
The media is revelling in predictions about the US presidential hopefuls who would make it to the hustings. Among others, I enjoyed reading the Rolling Stone’s forecast: “The smart money — not to mention the latest polls — gives an edge to Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee in tonight’s Iowa caucuses.
“But take a couple hundred thousand Midwesterners, pack them into gyms and libraries and town halls on a frigid Iowa night, add a heaping measure of peer pressure to the equation, and, well, anything can happen.
“Here are five unlikely results you that shouldn’t be shocked to see when the final precinct tallies come in…..” Read on…
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One Response to “Iowa Caucuses & Predictions”
1. Huckabee and McCain (of all people) are pulling up out of an earlier fall, while the others are falling.
(Pew report)
2. The Iowa Electronic Markets and other, similar programs favor Huckabee and Obama.
(article on markets)
(markets can overshoot)
from an earlier story,