Comments on: Gallup: Obama Widens Lead Over Romney 48% to 43%

By: The_Ohioan

The_Ohioan — Tue, 03 Jul 2012 19:44:42 +0000

I’m not qualified to determine which if any polls are correct. In fact I’m avoiding polls until October or so. But this was mentioned by Mark Halperin who does know something about campaigns. I hope you are right.

By: rudi

rudi — Tue, 03 Jul 2012 18:57:45 +0000

@Ohio
If I read the CNN poll correctly, it’s an aggregate of the fifteen states.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/07/02/cnn-poll-health-care-ruling-has-not-impacted-race-for-white-house-so-far/

The survey indicates that Romney clearly has a big advantage in some of those 15 states, but the data does not indicate which states he is currently winning or how big that advantage may actually be. Neither candidate needs to win all 15 of those states in order to win the general election, so the aggregate results from all 15 states do not forecast an Obama loss or a Romney victory.

The polling from Pollster shows Obama ahead in most of those 15 states. That polling is by state, not an aggregate of the 15 states.

By: The_Ohioan

The_Ohioan — Tue, 03 Jul 2012 12:47:50 +0000

http://ca.news.yahoo.com/poll-romney-claims-slight-edge-15-battleground-states-164545408.html

By: rudi

rudi — Tue, 03 Jul 2012 08:56:36 +0000

@RB
Click of the Pollster link and check out the states listed. I also heard this report, but the report didn’t include any raw data. Pollster has it tightening, but I don’t see any Romney leads in a majority of Pollster state composite data.

By: RON BEASLEY

RON BEASLEY — Tue, 03 Jul 2012 02:52:07 +0000

@The-Ohioan
I haven’t seen any of those polls – do you have some examples?

By: The_Ohioan

The_Ohioan — Tue, 03 Jul 2012 00:43:56 +0000

Other reports have Romney in the lead in 15 battleground states. Which means….