2008 Election Predictions From Republican Who Says He Has Been Repeatedly Correct
Paul M. Weyrich, Chairman and CEO of the Free Congress Research and Education Foundation, says he has been repeatedly right in his election predictions and that others know that and want to know his take on 2008.
And it won’t make GOPers happy.
Writing in Townhall, he says:
Last week on my radio show Representative Mike Pence (R-IN) discussed the Fairness Doctrine, an important issue currently being debated in Congress. During the show Representative Pence mentioned that he and other Members of Congress were nervously awaiting my election predictions.
With little more than a year remaining before the next presidential election, I have some ideas about who will win and who will lose. My record to date has been remarkably accurate.
So he gives them. First, he details his impressive record on election predictions. And then he writes:
I believe that the Democrats, most likely with Senator Hillary R. Clinton (D-NY) as the nominee, will win. The Republicans, regardless of who they nominate, will lose because of the war in Iraq. Voters want to punish the Republicans for Iraq.
I also believe the Republicans will lose seats in the Senate. Their incumbent candidates are weak and they have few, if any, potential challengers to Democrats who may be successful.
The House of Representatives is different. If the Democrats do not fulfill the promises they made to their base and the country, the Republicans could win the 16 seats needed for a majority. This will be difficult but it is not impossible.
There you have it. If I am wrong, I will change my phone number. If I am correct you can expect to hear about it again.
His prediction about the House is perhaps the most interesting. To be sure, there are growing signs of anger at the Democratic House leadership among Democrats. Just as voters who felt it didn’t matter if they voted for Ralph Nader did so in 2000, there may well be some Democrats who want to punish the party leadership and in doing so the House will be won by Republicans. Also: some of the Democrats elected to the House in 2006 came from districts not usually inclined to Democrats and some of those voters may return to the fold.
