Iran uses influence and threats to unify the Shiites into a state, initially without the Sunni areas. The Kurds make peace with Iran to keep their autonomy, and serve as a buffer state. With the internal problems solved the Shiites go after the Sunni areas as being rightfully part of Iraq, the situation turns into 2. The US stays out of it other than a warning that any attempt by Iran to invade Saudi Arabia or Kuwait will trigger a war over oil. Millions die before the exhausted parties make peace, the only good news is that with all of the terrorist attacks coming from both sides radical Islam losses it‘s appeal.

There are miles between a prediction and a wish/hope.

Why don’t you come clean, be intellectually honest, and admit it is what you are hoping for, despite the human suffering it would cause, just so you could go ‘neener-neener-neener’ at the Bush administration.

Training Days
One of the themes getting traction from the occupation’s remaining supporters is the “increasing effectiveness” of Iraqi troops. As straws go, this one’s good for grasping. But it’s a curious claim. Those making it must have incredible sources, since the hard data on Iraqi troop readiness has been classified since 2005. Earlier this year, the U.S. government’s top internal auditor tried to get a statutorily-required update from the Bush administration. Here’s what happened.

posted by The Cunning Realist at Tuesday, July 10, 2007

CR links to this story:
http://www.govexec.com/dailyfed/0107/011707m1.htm

Defense reluctant to share data on Iraqi troop readiness
By Jenny Mandel jmandel@govexec.com January 17, 2007

The Defense Department has resisted auditors’ efforts to obtain data on the military readiness of U.S.-trained Iraqi troops, according to a senior government official.

Comptroller General David M. Walker told audience members at a Government Executive breakfast Wednesday that Defense has not complied with repeated Government Accountability Office requests for evaluations of Iraqi troop preparedness, known as transitional readiness assessments. The Pentagon develops those evaluations for Iraqi and U.S. forces, Walker said, and has a statutory obligation to release them to GAO.

How many times have we gotten different versions of Iraqis troop rediness?

So I presume that you choose Scenario No. 8?

Unfortunately, we still cannot trust the media to report the true situation in Iraq accurately or honestly. That hasn’t changed since Vietnam (except when Democrats were in the White House), though hopefully it’s not as bad now as it was then. (We don’t encounter, outside the media, a lot of anger among the soldiers in Iraq about how things are being reported.)