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A Little Early For This Stuff, Doncha Think?
16 Responses to “A Little Early For This Stuff, Doncha Think?”
Hardly unprecedented.
You’re too touchy. Tornadoes in January would have been a better thing to shriek “Global Warming!” about.
Neither unprecedented nor worrisome. Storms that form outside of the troops very, very seldom amount to anything.
The better question is whether seeing a tropical storm this early means anything about the number that will develop over the course of the season.
http://www.stormcarib.com/climatology/first1886.htm
Oops! Troops!
I meant to say t-r-o-p-i-c-s.
Well, it was a reasonably light year last year……the law of averages suggests…..
Absolutely nothing.
The Law of Averages only applies over a statically large enough sample, and never speaks the the results of a single event (in this case, ‘event’ is the number of hurricanes in any given season)
> Oops! Troops!
> I meant to say t-r-o-p-i-c-s.
At least you didn’t say it’s off the coast of Iraq and it’s Bush’s fault once again. Heh, heh
Wil Obama claim ten million may die from this storm?
Heh
From my Hurricane blog The Typhoon Times:
Only is 10 percent of the tornadoes start showing up in January. About 2-3% of tornadoes are spawned in January. Reference)
Reference
Not sure what i did wrong there.
While there are many other reasons I think AGW is a fact this isn’t one of them. Just as while I think that the increase in hurricane intensity is a logical outcome of warming I don’t consider it proven yet.
This is just a spring storm, the water temp isn’t high enough for hurricanes. The rail fall from this strom cannot be ignored, but a big hurricane wont happen.
Jim,
If the new paper by Vecchi and Soden is correct then we would expect fewer storms in general and fewer intense storms in particular due to warming.
My bet is they never find a discernable warming signal in tropical storm incidences.
You can find some details about the pluses and minuses of the Vecchi and Soden paper here.