As the world is playing catch with the events in Libya, Tunisia, Egypt, Syria and other Arab Spring focal points, Iran is very busy.
Trying to keep people oppressed in light of Arab Spring revolutions surely keeps the regime in Iran occupied. But more than that, viewing once strongman like Mubarak and Gadaffi defeated, jailed humiliated and assassinated is probably the strongest driver to Iran’s nuclear weapons ambitions.
It’s safe to assume that if Gadaffi possessed nuclear weapons, NATO would not be so keen on interfering in internal Libyan riots. NATO has armed, trained and financed the rebels operations. Without Nato’s help, the Libyan rebels would not be able to topple Gadaffi. Just look at Syria. Without external intervention, Assad is able to hold on and keep protestors at bay. Iran is closely watching the situation and Ahmadinejad recently claimed that NATO intervention was effective in exacerbating the conflict.
Look at Iraq, again without nuclear weapons, the US easily invaded Iraq and toppled Saddam Hussein’s regime. In an interview to Giyus.org about a year ago, ex Mossad expert on Iran confirmed that “the regime lives in fear that the USA will invade Iran.. Iranian leaders truly believe that if Iraq had nuclear weapons the USA would not have invaded it. In their view, a nuclear bomb serves as an insurance policy for the regime’s stability.”
If that was the sentiment a year ago, after watching the events of the Arab Spring, these feelings have greatly intensified.
The west has been trying to convince Iran to halt its nuclear program for years. But Iran has refused to do so despite severe economic sanctions. New reports by Western experts say Iran’s nuclear program is faltering because of poorly functioning equipment. But they also acknowledge Iran has the capability to build at least one atomic weapon in about six months’ time.
As a religious Islamic regime Iran’s goal is to export the Islamic revolution everywhere. With the US leaving Iraq now, Iran is likely to step in and increase its efforts to fill the void with an Islamic message. In recent years, Iran has repeatedly worked against the interests of the United States and the international community. The recent plot to assassinate Saudi Ambassador on US’ soil is yet another attempt to undermine US’ authority and global leadership.
A nuclear Iran is a threat to the Middle East and the whole world. Western powers should divert attention from the Arab Spring and focus on stopping Iran before it is too late and the theocratic regime is armed with nuclear weapons.
What pure BS. Egypt’s spring happened from within. What was Mubarack suppose to do nuke his own people. Will Iran nuke it’s own citizens?
Roni – I think you are exaggerating the threat that Iran represents. First, as an exporter of terrorism I consider Iran behind Saudi Arabia and Wahhabism. Remember the Sunni brand of Islam far far outranks the Shite interests of Iran.
Second, Iran correctly perceives that a nuclear weapon serves to discourage outside interests(The U.S and Israel to be frank) from attacking and/or invading. Iran has a proud history that is as lengthy as Israel. They are not about to go to the mat with a nuclear strike against Israel knowing the cultural devastation that would bring to their country.
As a dual US/Israeli citizen I have my choice of passports when I travel and I have spent time in all the major Islamic countries, including Iran. Yes you have a loud mouth jerk in Ahmadinejad but the clerical regime is very conservative and cautious. I see their posture towards nuclear weapons as primarily defensive – same as any major country including Israel.
Much has been made about Ahmadinejad’s comment about “wiping Israel off the map”. However, no sees Clinton’s remark about “obliterating Iran” or the daily threats from Israel for attacking Iran as the same thing. I suspect what Iran is really after is nuclear “breakout” capacity just like Japan, Brazil and numerous other countries.
I spend months in Israel each year and my recent visit for the High Holy Days was very disconcerting. The glee with which many Israelis talked about attacking Iran had me very concerned. The hubris of the population is stunning about attacking Iran and very misplaced. It would be a disaster not only to Israel but also the west.
The Iranian population is 95% behind building nuclear capacity and has been since the Shah’s days. Even those Iranians who hate Ahmadinejad want nuclear capabilities. They cannot be stopped because it is a national obsession and moving the enrichment to the mountains of Qom means we cannot stop it. It’s best to start thinking about containment.
-[It’s safe to assume that if Gadaffi possessed nuclear weapons]-
Yeah and the Eskimos are building a time machine.
Your done. See yeah.