Further Still Down The Road: The State Of The Republican Presidential Field
Are we at peak Mitt Romney and if so does this mean the Republican presidential nomination will be Rick Perry’s to lose?
That is a scrumdiddlyumptious prospect for Obama supporters because the former Massachusetts governor is scary in a bad way — well spoken, intelligent and full of moderate ideas — while the Texas governor is scary in a good way — a stumblebum orator, an innate ability to usually hide his intelligence and full of dump ideas.
As it is, with the first nominating caucuses and primaries only two months away, eight in 10 Republican voters say they have not decided who to support while only four in 10 say they are paying a lot of attention to the campaign, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.
Herman Cain is in a statistical dead heat with Romney, according to the poll, but the smart money recognizes that the former pizza mogol is enjoying a boomlet as did Michelle Bachmann and The Donald before him. The poll found that support for Perry has weakened, and that is likely because of Cain picking up supporters when he became the flavor of the week.
I expect that Perry will get back much of the support that he has lost, especially since he has made it clear he sides with the birthers over the non-issue of whether Barack Obama is a true American, while Romney will further fade in the eyes of the party’s lunatic fringe base unless he pulls a wacko rabbit out of his hat.
The prospect of Perry possibly being able to lock up the nomination is giving group agita to Karl Rove and the mainstream Republicans who clearly understand that crappy economy or not, Obama can make mincemeat of Perry.
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Herman Cain in a dead heat with Romney?
The philosophy “Keep it simple stupid” seems to work well with people, even me. Or is it a lifetime of mental synchronization with media advertisement that makes us credulous to ridiculous assertions? I don’t know but it’s starting to scare me. There is so much shuck and jive anymore I can’t stay focused on what it is THAT I NEED from my political leaders. I make less than $250,000 a year and I must vote Democrat no matter what simply because of my income tax bracket. Might as well put away the political rhetoric. More than 250 = Republican, Less than 250 = Democrat. Why bother with the rest? There, it’s settled.
So Why…why is it that I still want pizza?
Allen:
Presumably not Godfather’s, which everyone whom I have asked said is lousy and it really takes hard work to make a lousy pizza, no?
Not pizza — popcorn!
Herman Cain, Rick Perry — it really doesn’t matter who gets the GOP nod. If it’s one of those two, the debates will be such fun — like giant-bowls-of-popcorn-fun!!! Mitt’s probably the only current candidate who’d be able to half-way hold his own with Obama. Personally, I’m rootin’ for Perry — the US needs a good laugh these days.
Honestly you seem to have no idea about Perry. He does OK in Texas but mainly because he doesn’t buck what the people want more than because he’s that personally conservative. I truly think if he were elected while he wouldn’t forget his base he would defiantly reach out to anyone who will give him the time of day.
Godfather’s pizza is OK. Not great but I sure wouldn’t call it lousy.
EEllis-
If Anybody, “bucks what the people want”, they don’t get elected.
Which reminds me that it is almost pizza time.
Why….why am I reminded of this?
EEllis, you should read up some more on what Perry’s done in Texas. He’s alienated more than a few people, including conservative Republicans. Why do you think that endorsements from Texas’s congressional delegation have been slow in coming? He’s largely bullied his way through the state for 10 years and hasn’t reached out in any way even to the conservative Texas Democrats.
Perry is done. Cain will lose his bump and those votes will spread out across the other candidates. Mitt is the only real choice and he will be the one people will vote for in the privacy of their booth.
People want more…they bounce from candidate to candidate because they are desperate for someone to believe in…that person is not running for the Rep nomination.
Mitt will win by default.
Harman Cain’s been gathering support slowly and surely. I don’t think he’s the ‘flavor of the week’. We’re well aware of his political inexperience, and the resulting political gaffes. The gaffes don’t bother us. Karl Rove and GOP establishment attacks don’t bother us.
Sure, some of his recent support may drop off as they find out more about him. My support started out as very enthusiastic, then dropped off somewhat, then rebounded. I’ve been following him for months to see if he was the real deal. I’m not convinced he’s my choice, but currently he’s my favorite.
You might see him drop back below Romney (for awhile) but you won’t see a collapse such as Rick Perry saw. Cain is in for the long haul.