New Poll: Giuliani & Clinton in the Lead, McCain in Trouble
James Joyner has the results up the latest Gallup Poll: good news for Giuliani and Clinton, bad news for John McCain.
The April 2-5 Gallup Poll finds 38% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents favoring Giuliani for the 2008 nomination, well ahead of his closest pursuer, McCain (16%). Two unannounced but potential candidates — Gingrich and Thompson — tie for third at 10%. The remaining 10 candidates tested in the poll all score below 10%, led by Mitt Romney at 6%.� For McCain, this marks “his lowest level of support since Gallup began tracking preferences in November 2006. His high water mark was 28% in December, but his support dropped to an average of 21% in two March polls.
To me, McCain has already lost. Joyner points out that the “nomination likely won’t be decided for a year, so there’s still plenty of time for these numbers to change”, but I, quite simply, don’t see how McCain can make a big comeback. I don’t see it happening.
If there is one Republican that’s going to rise significantly in the polls, it is Romney, not McCain. Unless, of course, Fred Thompson announces his candidacy.
2 Responses to “New Poll: Giuliani & Clinton in the Lead, McCain in Trouble”
[...] Command of detail? The detail most New Yorkers recall is Rudy was a thin skinned authoritarian, micromanager who had worn out his welcome. Out-arguing most of the politicians and pundits is a polite spin, a kind characterization for a crank. Where did all the competence go? Was it ever really there? Does it much matter in his run for the Republican nomination as he leads the field as McCain crumbles? [...]
Ha! Even the neocons are becoming more liberal. Told ya, conservatives ALWAYS come around to the Liberal political point of view. They are just slow.