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	<title>Comments on: Sabato&#8217;s Crystal Ball: 2008 House</title>
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		<title>By: DLS</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/11680/sabatos-crystal-ball-2008-house/comment-page-1/#comment-66719</link>
		<dc:creator>DLS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Mar 2007 00:09:37 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Superdestroyer said:

&gt; The article also seems to forget that the
&gt; reasons the sunbelt (red states) are
&gt; growing is the huge growth in
&gt; demographic groups that are 
&gt; overwhelmingly Democratic such as
&gt; Hispanic in Texas, Florida, North Caroli[na],
&gt; Arizona, and California. This massive
&gt; increase in Hispanic popoulation will give
&gt; the Democrats a huge advantage in the
&gt; near future. 

  Even population migration to the Sunbelt (more GOP for now, &quot;Hemoglobin Nation&quot;) from the wrecked Sunbelt (&quot;Cyanide Nation&quot;) has its demographic component.  Blacks will relocate to the South(east) in record numbers, and blacks continue to be overwhelimingly Democratic voters.

  As the non-minority population ages, it should be more conservative as it gets wiser -- but people are used to entitlements when they are old, and it is the Democratic Party that has enshrined welfare programs for the elderly and should do even better by extending Medicare to more people.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Superdestroyer said:</p>
<p>&gt; The article also seems to forget that the<br />
&gt; reasons the sunbelt (red states) are<br />
&gt; growing is the huge growth in<br />
&gt; demographic groups that are<br />
&gt; overwhelmingly Democratic such as<br />
&gt; Hispanic in Texas, Florida, North Caroli[na],<br />
&gt; Arizona, and California. This massive<br />
&gt; increase in Hispanic popoulation will give<br />
&gt; the Democrats a huge advantage in the<br />
&gt; near future. </p>
<p>  Even population migration to the Sunbelt (more GOP for now, &#8220;Hemoglobin Nation&#8221;) from the wrecked Sunbelt (&#8220;Cyanide Nation&#8221;) has its demographic component.  Blacks will relocate to the South(east) in record numbers, and blacks continue to be overwhelimingly Democratic voters.</p>
<p>  As the non-minority population ages, it should be more conservative as it gets wiser &#8212; but people are used to entitlements when they are old, and it is the Democratic Party that has enshrined welfare programs for the elderly and should do even better by extending Medicare to more people.</p>
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		<title>By: superdestroyer</title>
		<link>http://themoderatevoice.com/11680/sabatos-crystal-ball-2008-house/comment-page-1/#comment-66610</link>
		<dc:creator>superdestroyer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Mar 2007 11:57:25 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Larry Sabato makes a huge error in his analysis of population.  He mixes up red and blue states with Democratic and Republican Congressional Districts. 

If you really look at the data, most of the 16 Congressional seats that blue states will lose will probably come from the few remaining Republican District in those states.  NJ and Penn. will , of course to continue to vote Democratic in Presidential elections and with increasing numbers due to population changes.   But, the states Congressional delegations will become more blue as redistricting as used to eliminate Republican districts in the increasingly blue.  There may quickly become a time when there is not a single Republican Congressional District north of Virginia and East of Ohio. 

The article also seems to forget that the reasons the sunbelt (red states) are growing is the huge growth in demographic groups that are overwhelmingly Democratic such as Hispanic in Texas, Florida, North Carolian, Arizona, and California.  This massive increase in Hispanic popoulation will give the Democrats a huge advantage in the near future.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Larry Sabato makes a huge error in his analysis of population.  He mixes up red and blue states with Democratic and Republican Congressional Districts. </p>
<p>If you really look at the data, most of the 16 Congressional seats that blue states will lose will probably come from the few remaining Republican District in those states.  NJ and Penn. will , of course to continue to vote Democratic in Presidential elections and with increasing numbers due to population changes.   But, the states Congressional delegations will become more blue as redistricting as used to eliminate Republican districts in the increasingly blue.  There may quickly become a time when there is not a single Republican Congressional District north of Virginia and East of Ohio. </p>
<p>The article also seems to forget that the reasons the sunbelt (red states) are growing is the huge growth in demographic groups that are overwhelmingly Democratic such as Hispanic in Texas, Florida, North Carolian, Arizona, and California.  This massive increase in Hispanic popoulation will give the Democrats a huge advantage in the near future.</p>
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