
The Christian Science Monitor reports:
US workers may be significantly less literate in 2030 than they are today.
The reason: Most baby boomers will be retiring and a large wave of less-educated immigrants will be moving into the workforce. This downward shift in reading and math skills suggests a huge challenge for educators and policymakers in the future, according to a new report from the Educational Testing Service (ETS).
If they can’t reverse the trend, then it could spell trouble for a large swath of the labor force, widen an already large skill gap, and shrink the middle class.
“There is no time that I can tell you in the last hundred years” where literacy and numeracy have declined, says Andrew Sum, director of the Center for Labor Market Studies at Northeastern University in Boston and one of the report’s authors. “But if you don’t change outcomes for a wide variety of groups, this is the future we face.”
The decline in literacy is one of the more startling projections in a report that examines what it calls a “perfect storm” of converging factors and how those trends are likely to play out if left unchecked.
The three factors: “a shifting labor market increasingly rewarding education and skills, a changing demographic that include a rapid-growing Hispanic population, and a yawning achievement gap, particularly along racial and socioeconomic lines, when it comes to reading and math.”
The researchers, however, also point out that it might not be as bad as they predict. That being said, that the future is grim seems to be quite clear. What they want to do is to “call attention to urgent issues that affect not just many Americans’ lifestyle, but the sort of democracy based on an informed middle class that the country was founded on.”
So, what to do? Firstly, of course, ‘getting the message out’. Americans have to know about this. Secondly, according to the researchers, increase “attention and resources to early childhood education, to the social factors that affect young children, to continuing adult education, and to programs that keep kids from dropping out of school and address the achievement gap.”
Go over to the CSM to read the entire article, it seems to me that Americans have to be aware of this and have to do everything necessary to counter this development.
In the Netherlands we are focusing on becoming a ‘knowledge economy’. We have made mistakes and we will continue to make them, but we learn from them and continue on our path towards K.E.
Focusing on being a knowledge economy is a requirement for every Western country as to be able to compete with certain other countries in the future (like India, China, etc.), or so it seems to me.
What’s extraordinary about this?
I’m assuming that by 2030 we are talking about the children of the people who have immigrated here entering the workforce many of whom will have been born and educated in this country so this is just a matter of schools doing the job they are supposed to be doing.
Just like the schools did for many people of the supposedly so literate baby boom generation who were the children and grandchildren of immigrants.
Could we stop looking at the prescence of immigrants and particularly the growing Latino population like they are some dirty bomb about to go off?
Oh and btw, when you saw literate boomers are you talking literate like George Dubya or what?
What’s the standard in terms of the language skills that are needed for the future. I work with software engineers who have a hell of a time expressing themselves.
I’m not saying that’s a good thing but let’s not so closely equate the language skills required for say academia or the arts to what you would find in the IT field.
Looks like Mike Judge’s Idiocracy isn’t that far from reality.
Heck, never mind the children of immigrants being able to speak English correctly… I’m sick of hearing everyone in their teens and even 20s start sentences by saying, “Me and my brother went…”
It’s become something of a badge of honor among even the smartest of kids to use the crappiest grammar and spelling possible. Good luck with those job hunts, kids.
What surprises me is that… only a few people seem to find this subject interesting enough to leave a comment.
Hi Michael, I tried to leave a comment 2 days ago and then again yesterday and got an error message (page not found) so maybe that’s why there haven’t been many responses.
Anyway, my take on this is that in the future people will be getting more and more illiterate, but not due to immigration. Every teenage kid I know spends their time playing computer games. None of them read at all. They neglect homework etc. because it interrupts their playing. I used to work for IBM and all of the young guys just out of college were always playing games too– no one read but me. If this keeps going, the future will have many adults who have a minimal reading level but will have great hand to eye coodination