More Polls Bring Bad News For Bush On Iraq Support And Job Performance
More polls are coming out underscoring growing public unease over the Bush administration’s Iraq policy and management — and what is now becoming evident: President Bush’s much-anticipated speech on a new direction for Iraq has failed to convince the bulk of the American public.
Two out of three Americans oppose President Bush’s plan to send more troops to Iraq, a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll released Friday indicates.Nearly two-thirds of those polled also say Bush has no clear plan for Iraq.
While his numbers have inched up slightly on that question since the previous poll last week, Bush’s address to the nation Wednesday night seems to have made little difference.
Nearly half of those who saw the speech say their minds were not changed, while the rest are evenly split over whether they’d be more or less likely to support his policies.This is the first poll gauging Americans’ positions on the strategy following Bush’s address. The telephone survey of 1,093 adult Americans was conducted Thursday. The sampling error on all the questions in the poll is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
TIME analyzes a poll we previously noted here:
Public approval of Congress has edged up a bit now that Democrats are back in control, but it’s still nothing to write home about. Approval for the way Congress is handling its job rose to 32 percent in the latest AP-Ipsos poll, up from a meager 27 percent a month earlier. That puts Congress on par with President Bush, whose 32 percent approval rating represents a new low for him in AP-Ipsos polling.The Democrats, led by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, took control of Congress when the new session began on Jan. 4.
The softening of attitudes toward Congress suggests legislators may have an opportunity to improve their standing in the new year, but there appears to be little opening for Bush to move up similarly, public opinion experts believe.
“The question for Nancy Pelosi and Mr. Reid and the Democrats is whether they show the American public they can govern in a responsible way,” said James Thurber, a political scientist at American University. Bush has less chance for improvement, Thurber said, because the unpopular war in Iraq is “the driving issue” in assessing his performance.
Mystery Pollster cites these polls:
A new CNN/Opinion Research survey says 27% of those who watched Bush’s speech were more likely to support his plan “to send about 20,000 more U.S. troops to Iraq,” while 27% were less likely to support it, and 45% say it “didn’t make any difference.” Among all adults, 32% favor Bush’s plan and 66% oppose it. More analysis from last week’s Gallup Poll shows 68% of Americans say it is “not too” or “not at all” likely that violence in Iraq will be significantly reduced in 2007.
A new Rasmussen Reports poll also fails to show that Bush is either increasing his support among the public for his policy or scoring points for his job performance:
Just 35% of Americans now approve of the way that George W. Bush is performing his role as President. That’s down sharply in recent days and is the lowest level of Approval ever measured by Rasmussen Reports (see comments on comparing Approval Ratings from different polling firms). Sixty-one percent (61%) disapprove of his performance.These figures are based upon nightly telephone surveys and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Most of interviews were completed before the President’s Wednesday night speech, but after details of his plan for a troop surge had been discussed. The President now earns approval from 39% of men and 31% of women.
Rasmussen Reports also conducts a separate survey of Likely Voters rating the President’s job performance on a different scale. That survey found 35% give the President a good or excellent rating, 18% say fair, and 45% poor.
A separate survey completed the night before the President’s speech found that most Americans oppose plans for increasing U.S. troop strength in Iraq. Just 33% of Americans now believe that the U.S. and its allies are winning the War on Terror. Just 26% say that President Bush is doing a good or an excellent job handing the situation in Iraq.
Clout is important for politicians and leaders who want to get things done. Bottom line: Bush’s clout continues to diminish.
7 Responses to “More Polls Bring Bad News For Bush On Iraq Support And Job Performance”
Not sure if everyone has seen these videos of the US military in Iraq or not, but they are pretty amazing: Hopefully our ‘surge’ will not include too many of these types…
http://minor-ripper.blogspot.com/2006/12/winning-hearts-and-minds-part-three.html
Polls: they truly fascinating and important, aren’t they?
Thanks for this post Joe!
and:
And it becomes more and more likely that Republicans will continue to rebel.
Clout (“political capital”) is certainly important over the long haul, but it is not all-important. President Bush has enough legal authority to proceed with the troop surge, and Congress will not meddle in the conduct of a war by cutting the funding for it yet.
If the surge and the other aspects of the new way forward improve the situation in Iraq, then the president will in fact gain more “clout”. That gain, if it comes, will be offset by drawing closer to the end of Bush’s term.
More importantly, “clout” is not the only way to get things done. One can also hope to persuade people to favor a proposal by demonstrating that it offers the best hope for a satisfactory outcome. Too often in our politics, we overlook the need to persuade people, preferring instead to bully them with polls and election results and so forth.
And it becomes more and more likely that Republicans will continue to rebel.
This, in the end, is what will sink Bush and finally end the war. These guys don’t want to run in 2008 with Bush wrapped around their necks.
There was an election a mere two months ago and aside from the 35-plus Republican congressmen who lost, there are another 15 who survived by the skin of their teeth. This happened in spite of years of scientific gerrymandering to create “safe” districts. Not one Democratic incumbent lost and the biggest issue of the election was the Iraq war.
If they thought the voters were surly in ’06, just give them two more years of “stay the course”.
I agree, Pug. Those who remain loyal to the president better hope we’re out of Iraq before ’08. The GOP is in a sticky situation, and already are splitting on the issue. If they lose big in ’08, they may have trouble regaining the majority later. They should have been asking the tough questions of Rice and Rummy these past 4 years- their uberpartisan loyalty was inexcusable.
Yes, that’s how I see it as well and that’s why I think that the Democrats are, for a change, doing it politically quite wise, for now at least. They are putting the pressure on the Republicans and on the President, but they must be careful not to overdo it (power of the purse without republicans backing them up).
I’m a big critic on the war (wrong place, wrong time, inadequate planning and troop levels, etc) I will admit, however, to being terrified of the consequences when we do finally pull out. If al queda move from Anbar province to control Iraq’s oil, if Iraq becomes a killing field like Cambodia- if it becomes a regional conflagration-I don’t think the consequences are being exaggerated by our politicians. This was the most grievous error in our foreign policy in history. Facing those consequences, imo, is what caused our commander-in-chief to appear somber and depressed- the swagger and little grin, the Texas accent- all were gone. I still think he’ll go down in the history books as our worst president, but we have to consider what we will leave behind. This is even worse than Vietnam. We can say that Vietnam is doing great today, but so many that supported us and hoped we would bring them a better life were slaughtered. I’m thinking like Polimom today-of only the Iraqis, who through no fault of their own, are caught up in our foreign policy blunder.